Essays – Schneier on Security

Essays in the Category "Democracy"

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It’s Time to Worry About DOGE’s AI Plans

Welcome to the end of the human civil servant.

  • Bruce Schneier and Nathan E. Sanders
  • The Atlantic
  • February 10, 2025

Donald Trump and Elon Musk’s chaotic approach to reform is upending government operations. Critical functions have been halted, tens of thousands of federal staffers are being encouraged to resign, and congressional mandates are being disregarded. The next phase: The Department of Government Efficiency reportedly wants to use AI to cut costs. According to The Washington Post, Musk’s group has started to run sensitive data from government systems through AI programs to analyze spending and determine what could be pruned. This may lead to the elimination of human jobs in favor of automation. As one government official who has been tracking Musk’s DOGE team told the…

The Apocalypse That Wasn’t: AI Was Everywhere in 2024’s Elections, but Deepfakes and Misinformation Were Only Part of the Picture

  • Bruce Schneier and Nathan E. Sanders
  • The Conversation
  • December 4, 2024

This essay also appeared in Cascadia Daily News, Commonwealth Beacon, Fast Company, Gizmodo, and the Seattle Post-Intelligencer.

It’s been the biggest year for elections in human history: 2024 is a “super-cycle” year in which 3.7 billion eligible voters in 72 countries had the chance to go the polls. These are also the first AI elections, where many feared that deepfakes and artificial intelligence-generated misinformation would overwhelm the democratic processes. As 2024 draws to a close, it’s instructive to take stock of how democracy did…

Algorithms Are Coming for Democracy—but It’s Not All Bad

  • Bruce Schneier and Nathan E. Sanders
  • Wired
  • November 27, 2024

In 2025, AI is poised to change every aspect of democratic politics—but it won’t necessarily be for the worse.

India’s prime minister, Narendra Modi, has used AI to translate his speeches for his multilingual electorate in real time, demonstrating how AI can help diverse democracies to be more inclusive. AI avatars were used by presidential candidates in South Korea in electioneering, enabling them to provide answers to thousands of voters’ questions simultaneously. We are also starting to see AI tools aid fundraising and get-out-the-vote efforts. AI techniques are starting to augment more traditional polling methods, helping campaigns get cheaper and faster data. And congressional candidates have started using AI robocallers to engage voters on issues. In 2025, these trends will continue. AI doesn’t need to be superior to human experts to augment the labor of an overworked canvasser, or to write ad copy similar to that of a junior campaign staffer or volunteer. Politics is competitive, and any technology that can bestow an advantage, or even just garner attention, will be used…

AI Could Still Wreck the Presidential Election

Regulators have largely taken a hands-off approach to the use of AI in political ads—and the consequences may be severe.

  • Nathan E. Sanders and Bruce Schneier
  • The Atlantic
  • September 27, 2024

For years now, AI has undermined the public’s ability to trust what it sees, hears, and reads. The Republican National Committee released a provocative ad offering an “AI-generated look into the country’s possible future if Joe Biden is re-elected,” showing apocalyptic, machine-made images of ruined cityscapes and chaos at the border. Fake robocalls purporting to be from Biden urged New Hampshire residents not to vote in the 2024 primary election. This summer, the Department of Justice cracked down on a Russian bot farm that was using AI to impersonate Americans on social media, and OpenAI disrupted an …

Using AI for Political Polling

Will AI-assisted polls soon replace more traditional techniques?

  • Aaron Berger, Bruce Schneier, Eric Gong, and Nathan Sanders
  • Harvard Kennedy School Ash Center
  • June 11, 2024

Public polling is a critical function of modern political campaigns and movements, but it isn’t what it once was. Recent US election cycles have produced copious postmortems explaining both the successes and the flaws of public polling. There are two main reasons polling fails.

First, nonresponse has skyrocketed. It’s radically harder to reach people than it used to be. Few people fill out surveys that come in the mail anymore. Few people answer their phone when a stranger calls. Pew Research reported that 36% of the people they called in 1997 would talk to them, but only 6% by 2018. Pollsters worldwide have faced similar challenges…

Indian Election Was Awash in Deepfakes—but AI Was a Net Positive for Democracy

  • Vandinika Shukla and Bruce Schneier
  • The Conversation
  • June 7, 2024

This essay also appeared in Channel News Asia and PBS News.

As India concluded the world’s largest election on June 5, 2024, with over 640 million votes counted, observers could assess how the various parties and factions used artificial intelligence technologies—and what lessons that holds for the rest of the world.

The campaigns made extensive use of AI, including deepfake impersonations of candidates, celebrities and dead politicians. By some estimates, millions of Indian voters viewed deepfakes.

But, despite fears of widespread disinformation, for …

How AI Will Change Democracy

Artificial intelligence is coming for our democratic politics, from how politicians campaign to how the legal system functions.

  • Cyberscoop
  • May 28, 2024

This article is adapted from a keynote speech delivered at the RSA Conference in San Francisco on May 7, 2024.

I don’t think it’s an exaggeration to predict that artificial intelligence will affect every aspect of our society. Not by doing new things. But mostly by doing things that are already being done by humans, perfectly competently.

Replacing humans with AIs isn’t necessarily interesting. But when an AI takes over a human task, the task changes.

In particular, there are potential changes over four dimensions: Speed, scale, scope and sophistication. The problem with AIs trading stocks isn’t that they’re better than humans—it’s that they’re faster. But computers are better at chess and Go because they use more sophisticated strategies than humans. We’re worried about AI-controlled social media accounts because they operate on a superhuman scale…

Public AI as an Alternative to Corporate AI

  • New America
  • March 14, 2024

This essay appeared as part of a round table on “Power and Governance in the Age of AI.”

The increasingly centralized control of AI is an ominous sign. When tech billionaires and corporations steer AI, we get AI that tends to reflect the interests of tech billionaires and corporations, instead of the public. Given how transformative this technology will be for the world, this is a problem.

To benefit society as a whole we need an AI public option—not to replace corporate AI but to serve as a counterbalance—as well as stronger democratic institutions to govern all of AI. Like public roads and the federal postal system, a public AI option could guarantee universal access to this transformative technology and set an implicit standard that private services must surpass to compete…

Let’s Not Make the Same Mistakes with AI That We Made with Social Media

Social media’s unregulated evolution over the past decade holds a lot of lessons that apply directly to AI companies and technologies.

  • Nathan E. Sanders and Bruce Schneier
  • MIT Technology Review
  • March 13, 2024

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. A decade ago, social media was celebrated for sparking democratic uprisings in the Arab world and beyond. Now front pages are splashed with stories of social platforms’ role in misinformation, business conspiracy, malfeasance, and risks to mental health. In a 2022 survey, Americans blamed social media for the coarsening of our political discourse, the spread of misinformation, and the increase in partisan polarization.

Today, tech’s darling is artificial intelligence. Like social media, it has the potential to change the world in many ways, some favorable to democracy. But at the same time, it has the potential to do incredible damage to society…

How Public AI Can Strengthen Democracy

  • Nathan Sanders, Bruce Schneier, and Norman Eisen
  • Brookings
  • March 4, 2024

With the world’s focus turning to misinformationmanipulation, and outright propaganda ahead of the 2024 U.S. presidential election, we know that democracy has an AI problem. But we’re learning that AI has a democracy problem, too. Both challenges must be addressed for the sake of democratic governance and public protection.

Just three Big Tech firms (Microsoft, Google, and Amazon) control about two-thirds of the global market for the cloud computing resources used to train and deploy AI models. They have a lot of the AI talent, the capacity for large-scale innovation, and face few public regulations for their products and activities…

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Sidebar photo of Bruce Schneier by Joe MacInnis.