Abstract
In recent years, geosensor data forecasting has received considerable attention. However, the presence of correlation (i.e. spatial correlation across several sites and time correlation within each site) poses difficulties to accurate forecasting. In this paper, a tensor-based method for geosensor data forecasting is proposed. Specifically, a tensor pattern is first introduced into modelling the geosensor data, which can take advantage of geosensor spatial-temporal information and preserve the multi-way nature of geosensor data, and then a tensor decomposition based algorithm is developed to forecast future values of time series. The proposed approach not only combines and utilizes the multi-mode correlations, but also well extracts the underlying factors in each mode of tensor and mines the multi-dimensional structures of geosensor data. Experimental evaluations on real world geosensor data validate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Yang, B., Guo, C., Jensen, C.S.: Travel cost inference from sparse, spatio temporally correlated time series using Markov models. PVLDB 6(9), 769–780 (2013)
Yu, R., Cheng, D., Liu, Y.: Accelerated online low rank tensor learning for multivariate spatiotemporal streams. ICML 2015, 238–247 (2015)
Sun, Y., Yuan, N.J., Wang, Y., et al.: Collaborative intent prediction with real-time contextual data. ACM Trans. Inf. Syst. 35(4), 30 (2017)
Pravilovic, S., Appice, A., Malerba, D.: An intelligent technique for forecasting spatially correlated time series. In: Baldoni, M., Baroglio, C., Boella, G., Micalizio, R. (eds.) AI*IA 2013. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 8249, pp. 457–468. Springer, Cham (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-03524-6_39
Pravilovic, S., Appice, A., Malerba, D.: Integrating cluster analysis to the ARIMA model for forecasting geosensor data. In: Andreasen, T., Christiansen, H., Cubero, J.-C., Raś, Zbigniew W. (eds.) ISMIS 2014. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 8502, pp. 234–243. Springer, Cham (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-08326-1_24
Pravilovic, S., Bilancia, M., Appice, A., Malerba, D.: Using multiple time series analysis for geosensor data forecasting. Inf. Sci. 380(2017), 31–52 (2017)
Acar, E., Dunlavy, D.M., Kolda, T.G.: Mϕrup, M.: Scalable tensor factorizations for incomplete data. Chemom. Intell. Lab. Syst. 106(1), 41–56 (2011)
Kolda, T.G., Bader, B.W.: Tensor decompositions and applications. SIAM Rev. 51(3), 455–500 (2009)
Tan, H.C., Feng, G.D., Feng, J.S., Wang, W.H., Zhang, Y.J.: A tensor-based method for missing traffic data completion. Transp. Res. Part C 28, 15–27 (2013)
Egrioglu, E., Yolcu, U., Aladag, C., Bas, E.: Recurrent multiplicative neuron model artificial neural network for non-linear time series forecasting. Procedia – Soc. Behav. Sci. 109(8), 1094–1100 (2014)
Pokrajac, D., Obradovic, Z.: Improved spatial-temporal forecasting through modelling of spatial residuals in recent history. In: SDM, Chicago, IL, USA, 5–7 April 2001, pp. 1–17 (2001)
Kamarianakis, Y., Prastacos, P.: Space–time modeling of traffic flow. Comput. Geosci. 31(2), 119–133 (2005)
Ohashi, O., Torgo, L.: Wind speed forecasting using spatio-temporal indicators. In: ECAI, France, 27–31 August 2012, pp. 975–980 (2012)
Asteriou D., Hall S.: ARIMA models and the box-jenkins methodology. In: Applied Econometrics, 2nd edn., pp. 265–286. Palgrave MacMillan (2011)
Saengseedam, P., Kantanantha, N.: Spatio-temporal model for crop yield forecasting. J. Appl. Stat. 44(3), 427–440 (2017)
Tucker, L.R.: Implications of factor analysis of three-way matrices for measurement of change. In: Harris, C.W. (ed.) Problems in Measuring Change, pp. 122–137. University of Wisconsin Press (1963)
Kiers, H.A.: Towards a standardized notation and terminology in multiway analysis. J. Chemom. 14(3), 105–122 (2000)
Hyndman, R.J., Khandakar, Y.: Automatic time series forecasting: the forecast package for R. J. Stat. Softw. 27(3), 1–22 (2008)
Acknowledgement
This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61762090, 61262069, 61472346, and 61662086), The Natural Science Foundation of Yunnan Province (2016FA026, 2015FB114), the Project of Innovative Research Team of Yunnan Province, and Program for Innovation Research Team (in Science and Technology) in University of Yunnan Province (IRTSTYN).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature
About this paper
Cite this paper
Zhou, L., Du, G., Xiao, Q., Wang, L. (2018). A Tensor-Based Method for Geosensor Data Forecasting. In: Cai, Y., Ishikawa, Y., Xu, J. (eds) Web and Big Data. APWeb-WAIM 2018. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 10988. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96893-3_23
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-96893-3_23
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-96892-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-96893-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)