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Work Disability Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning, Comparison of Two Methods

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Proceedings of the ICR’22 International Conference on Innovations in Computing Research (ICR 2022)

Part of the book series: Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing ((AISC,volume 1431))

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Abstract

The risk of work disability can be predicted with machine learning and using various data sources. In this study, we compare two methods that use different data sources, occupational health care data and pension decision register data. The first method, medical report data classification for two classes (MHealth), reached an accuracy of 72% by using neural networks. This tool is used in occupational health care to help in the screening process of the patients. The second method, pension data prediction (MPension), achieved an accuracy of 69–78% depending on the algorithm used. Using pension decision register data, disability was best predicted by old age, high use of sickness benefits and rehabilitation allowance in previous years, and low or no earnings in previous years. Based on the experiments, machine learning techniques appear to be a potential tool to support expert work and decision-making.

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Correspondence to Katja Saarela .

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Saarela, K., Huhta-Koivisto, V., Nurminen, J.K. (2022). Work Disability Risk Prediction Using Machine Learning, Comparison of Two Methods. In: Daimi, K., Al Sadoon, A. (eds) Proceedings of the ICR’22 International Conference on Innovations in Computing Research. ICR 2022. Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing, vol 1431. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-14054-9_2

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