Abstract
As an essential part of the urban public transport system, taxi has been the necessary transport option in the social life of city residents. The research on the analysis and prediction of taxi demands based on the taxi trip records tends to be one of the important topics recently, which is of great importance to optimize the taxi dispatching, minimize the wait-time for passengers and drivers, reduce the time and distances of vacant driving, as well as improve the quality of taxi operation and management. In this paper, we propose the CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model, which consists of Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs), Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory (BiLSTM) neural networks and the Attention mechanism, to predict the taxi demands at some certain regions. Then we compare the prediction performance of CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model with the baselines. The results show that this model can outperform other models in predicting the taxi demands, which also proves that our CNN-BiLSTM-Attention model is capable of capturing the spatial and temporal features more effectively, and has a better prediction accuracy.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Yang, Q., Gao, Z., Kong, X., Rahim, A., Wang, J., Xia, F.: Taxi operation optimization based on big traffic data. In: 2015 IEEE 12th International Conference on Ubiquitous Intelligence and Computing and 2015 IEEE 12th International Conference on Autonomic and Trusted Computing and 2015 IEEE 15th International Conference on Scalable Computing and Communications and Its Associated Workshops (UIC-ATC-ScalCom), pp. 127–134. IEEE (2015)
Kong, X., Xu, Z., Shen, G., Wang, J., Yang, Q., Zhang, B.: Urban traffic congestion estimation and prediction based on floating car trajectory data. Future Gener. Comput. Syst. 61, 97–107 (2016)
Zhang, D., et al.: Understanding taxi service strategies from taxi GPS traces. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 16(1), 123–135 (2015)
Zhao, K., Khryashchev, D., Freire, J., Silva, C., Vo, H.: Predicting taxi demand at high spatial resolution: approaching the limit of predictability. In: IEEE International Conference on Big Data (2017)
Qian, X., Ukkusuri, S., Yang, C., Yan, F.: Short term taxi demand forecasting using Gaussian conditional random field model. In: Transportation Research Board 2017 Annual Meeting (2017)
Yan, H., Zhang, Z., Zou, J.: An online spatio-temporal model for inference and predictions of taxi demand. In: IEEE International Conference on Big Data (2017)
Zhang, J., Zheng, Y., Qi, D.: Deep spatio-temporal residual networks for citywide crowd flows prediction (2016)
Jun, X., Rahmatizadeh, R., Bölöni, L., Turgut, D.: Real-time prediction of taxi demand using recurrent neural networks. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 19(8), 2572–2581 (2018)
Hochreiter, S., Schmidhuber, J.: Long short-term memory. Neural Comput. 9(8), 1735–1780 (1997)
Liu, L., Qiu, Z., Li, G., Wang, Q., Ouyang, W., Lin, L.: Contextualized spatial-temporal network for taxi origin-destination demand prediction. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. PP(99), 1–13 (2019)
Kunihiko and Fukushima: Neocognitron: A self-organizing neural network model for a mechanism of pattern recognition unaffected by shift in position. Biol. Cybern. 36, 193–202 (1980)
Lecun, Y., Bottou, L.: Gradient-based learning applied to document recognition. Proc. IEEE 86(11), 2278–2324 (1998)
Graves, A.: Supervised Sequence Labelling with Recurrent Neural Networks. Springer, Heidelberg (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-24797-2
Zhou, P., Shi, W., Tian, J., Qi, Z., Xu, B.: Attention-based bidirectional long short-term memory networks for relation classification. In: Proceedings of the 54th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics (Volume 2: Short Papers) (2016)
NYC taxi & limousine commission. Taxi and limousine commission (TLC) trip record data. https://www1.nyc.gov/site/tlc/about/tlc-trip-record-data.page. Accessed 13 Sept 2020
Lv, Y., Duan, Y., Kang, W., Li, Z., Wang, F.Y.: Traffic flow prediction with big data: a deep learning approach. IEEE Trans. Intell. Transp. Syst. 16(2), 865–873 (2015)
Wikipedia. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Symmetric_mean_absolute_percentage_error. Accessed 13 Sept 2020
Vanguard software homepage. https://www.vanguardsw.com/business-forecasting-101/forecast-fit/. Accessed 13 Sept 2020
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Guo, X. (2020). Prediction of Taxi Demand Based on CNN-BiLSTM-Attention Neural Network. In: Yang, H., Pasupa, K., Leung, A.CS., Kwok, J.T., Chan, J.H., King, I. (eds) Neural Information Processing. ICONIP 2020. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12534. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63836-8_28
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63836-8_28
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-63835-1
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-63836-8
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)