Quantitative Finance > Trading and Market Microstructure
[Submitted on 5 Jul 2023 (v1), last revised 19 Sep 2023 (this version, v2)]
Title:LOB-Based Deep Learning Models for Stock Price Trend Prediction: A Benchmark Study
View PDFAbstract:The recent advancements in Deep Learning (DL) research have notably influenced the finance sector. We examine the robustness and generalizability of fifteen state-of-the-art DL models focusing on Stock Price Trend Prediction (SPTP) based on Limit Order Book (LOB) data. To carry out this study, we developed LOBCAST, an open-source framework that incorporates data preprocessing, DL model training, evaluation and profit analysis. Our extensive experiments reveal that all models exhibit a significant performance drop when exposed to new data, thereby raising questions about their real-world market applicability. Our work serves as a benchmark, illuminating the potential and the limitations of current approaches and providing insight for innovative solutions.
Submission history
From: Matteo Prata [view email][v1] Wed, 5 Jul 2023 14:28:38 UTC (99 KB)
[v2] Tue, 19 Sep 2023 20:52:54 UTC (450 KB)
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