基于结构方程模型的突发公共卫生事件下居民出行选择行为研究
计算机科学

计算机科学 ›› 2021, Vol. 48 ›› Issue (11A): 655-658.doi: 10.11896/jsjkx.201200004

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基于结构方程模型的突发公共卫生事件下居民出行选择行为研究

骆晨, 胡明, 肖焕权, 钟林峰   

  1. 中国民用航空飞行学院空中交通管理学院 四川 德阳618307
  • 出版日期:2021-11-10 发布日期:2021-11-12
  • 通讯作者: 钟林峰(googlezlf@163.com)
  • 作者简介:luochenkun@126.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金(61873216);中国民用航空局民航安全能力项目(AQ0242020);中国民用航空飞行学院面上项目(J2020-082,J2020-084);中央引导地方科技发展专项(2020ZYD094);四川省科技计划项目(2021YFS0319)

Research on Behavior of Travel Mode Choice Under Duration of Public Health Emergencies Basedon SEM Model

LUO Chen, HU Ming, XIAO Huan-quan, ZHONG Lin-feng   

  1. School of Air Traffic Control,Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Deyang,Sichuan 618307,China
  • Online:2021-11-10 Published:2021-11-12
  • About author:LUO Chen,born in 1989,Ph.D.His main research interests include travel mode choice and aviation safety.
    ZHONG Lin-feng,born in 1986,Ph.D.His main research interests includeavia-tion network and aviation safety.
  • Supported by:
    National Natural Science Foundation of China(61873216),Civil Aviation Safety Capability Program of Civil Aviation Administration of China(AQ0242020),Project of China Civil Aviation Flight Academy(J2020-082,J2020-084),Project of the Central Government Guides Local Scientific and Technological Development(2020ZYD094) and Project of Sichuan Science and Technology Plan(2021YFS0319).

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摘要： 为剖析突发公共事件持续期居民出行方式选择行为的决策机理,通过引入结构方程模型,构建居民出行方式选择模型SEM,基于2020年3月在新冠肺炎疫情持续期通过网络线上的方式采集的623份有效调查问卷,研究了突发公共事件持续期居民出行选择的主要影响因素。结果表明:家庭人均收入、是否有私家车、防控措施、防控措施了解程度对居民出行方式有绝对的影响;自我防控措施、交通工具主观信任度对居民在突发公共卫生事件持续期的出行方式选择具有显著的影响;在高铁旅客运输过程中减少经停地、航空旅客运输中保持低票价均可提高居民选择相应出行方式的概率;各交通方式可以通过提高疫情防控工作的宣传力度以提升居民对各交通方式的主观信任度。

关键词: 安全管理工程, 出行方式, 结构方程模型, 突发公共卫生事件, 选择行为

Abstract: In order to analyze the decision-making mechanism of the choice of residents' travel mode during the duration of public emergencies,the structural equation model is introduced to construct the SEM model of residents' travel mode selection,based on the 623 effective surveys collected through the network,during the duration of the cronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in march 2020.The questionnaire investigates the main influencing factors of residents' travel choices during the duration of public emergencies.The results show that family income per capita,whether there is a private car,prevention and control measures,and the degree of prevention and control measures have absolute impact on residents' travel modes.Reducing stopover places in the process of high-speed rail passenger transport,and keeping low ticket price in air passenger transport,can improve the probability of residents choosing corresponding travel modes.It can be seen that the behavior choice of residents during the duration of public health emergencies is quite different from that under normal conditions.

Key words: Mode choice, Public health emergencies, Safety management engineering, Structural equation model, Travel mode

中图分类号: 

  • U495
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