1. Introduction
Although offshore wind energy now composes less than 2% of the total capacity of 94 GW of wind energy installed worldwide (International Energy Agency 2008), that fraction is anticipated to see substantial increases in the future. There are plans to install 150 GW in the waters of the European Union by 2030 with targets for individual countries of, for example, 20–25 GW in Germany, 33 GW in the United Kingdom, and 4.6 GW in Denmark (Wagner 2009). This scale of offshore installation necessitates development and evaluation of improved tools with which to model interactions between individual turbines, the atmosphere, and neighboring turbines to accurately predict wind farm power output and thus optimize wind farm design. A major focus of these efforts is centered on improved quantification of the role of wind turbine spacing on power losses due to wind turbine wakes. If the effect of turbine spacing on power losses and fatigue load due to wakes can be quantified, then this can be used to optimize wind farm layouts and thereby reduce costs. Barriers to quantifying the impact of spacing derive from difficulties in accurately measuring wake effects related to limited data availability and the complexity of interactions between wake behavior and atmospheric state. For an isolated wind turbine the wind speed deficit in a single wake immediately downstream of a turbine is primarily a function of the turbine thrust coefficient (Fig. 1), which is strongly related to the incident wind speed at hub height, while the wake width and height are determined by the turbine characteristics (hub height, rotor diameter, etc). As the wake moves downstream of the turbine, its expansion is a function of the ambient turbulence, turbine-generated turbulence, wind speed, wind direction, atmospheric stability, and the point at which the wake impacts the ground. Previous research has highlighted modeling and evaluated wind speed or power reduction in individual wind turbine wakes both onshore (Crespo et al. 1999) and offshore (Barthelmie et al. 2006). Considerable effort has also been expended into developing models for turbulence generation in wind farms (Frandsen and Thøgersen 1999; Quarton and Ainslie 1990). However, wakes in multiturbine wind farms are also subject to downward and lateral merging with wakes from neighboring turbines. If the wind farm is sufficiently large, added turbulence from the turbines may impact the boundary layer, particularly in the shallow low-turbulence boundary layers found in many offshore areas. In a general sense, it is intuitive that increasing spacing between wind turbines should decrease power losses due to wakes because wakes begin to recover at some distance downstream as momentum is drawn into the wake from the surrounding undisturbed flow. However, practical constraints such as cabling costs and available space dictate that the turbine spacing cannot be infinitely large. It is also apparent that if the wind farm is sufficiently large there must be a limit to the energy that can be extracted. In most cases, turbine spacing at operational offshore wind farms is currently in the range of 4–12 rotor diameters (D) leading to estimated total wind farm wake losses of 10% for Middelgrunden (2.4 D, one line; Barthelmie et al. 2007b), 12.4% at Horns Rev (7 D spacing; Sørensen et al. 2006), and 23% at Lillgrund (3.3–4.3 D spacing; Dahlberg and Thor 2009).
Two types of models are used to estimate power losses due to wind turbine wakes. One is a wind farm model using a wake model that has been simplified or parameterized so that the description of wind farm wind resources and power losses due to wakes can be made relatively quickly. “Industry standard” models typically fall into this category, giving average results at individual turbine locations. The second is a computational fluid dynamics (CFD)-type model, which solves basic equations of the atmosphere and produces results on a fine mesh in space and time. Despite considerable progress, these models are currently too computing/time intensive to be used in most industry applications. Preliminary evaluation of wake models (either operated in stand-alone mode or as part of a wind farm model) based on individual case studies in the UpWind project Barthelmie et al. (2007d) suggested that standard wind farm models were underpredicting wakes (i.e., overpredicting power output), while CFD models were overpredicting wake losses. For total wind farm power output, Sørensen et al. (2006) suggested that one of the linearized models [the Wind Atlas Analysis and Application Program (WAsP); Mortensen et al. (2005)] applied with standard parameterizations gave the best performance of the models evaluated. Subsequent reevaluation of model parameterizations and constants has improved model performance, but the models continue to exhibit divergent behavior and agreement with the observations (which also exhibit a high degree of variability) remains elusive (Barthelmie et al. 2009). Some of the difficulty in evaluating models arises from what might be termed natural variability—for example, nonstationarity of wind speed and direction either across the wind farm or in time due to inhomogeneous fetch conditions (Barthelmie et al. 2007a) or atmospheric variability (e.g., frontal passages). Part of the difficulty also derives from issues pertaining to measurement uncertainty and model limitations, such as lacking parameterization for stability variations (Barthelmie et al. 2007c).
Here, we examine a new observational dataset derived from two large operational Danish wind farms designed to provide a more systematic basis for model evaluation and to assist in the physical understanding of wake behavior. The objectives of the analyses presented herein are
(i) to determine if conditionally sampled observational data from two offshore wind farms with different layouts and turbine spacing can be used to quantify the relationship between wind turbine spacing and wake losses for realistic layout configurations,
(ii) to determine if the conditionally sampled data ensembles can be used to infer the downwind distance where lateral wake merging is observed, and
(iii) to provide a more comprehensive and robust evaluation of wind turbine wake models.
2. Development of the data ensembles
The observations used to develop the data ensembles are taken from the supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems from the large offshore wind farms at Nysted (Barthelmie et al. 2007c; Cleve et al. 2009) and Horns Rev (Jensen 2004; Table 1 and Fig. 2). Observations are from June 2004 to May 2006 at Nysted and for the calendar year 2005 at Horns Rev. Both wind farms lie in Danish waters with the prevailing winds and highest wind speeds from the southwest. Nysted is in the southern part of Denmark and has relatively short sea fetches in most directions (a minimum of 10 km to the north and less than 70 km to the south and west), whereas Horns Rev is off the western coast of Denmark in the North Sea and has a long sea fetch (more than 500 km) in the westerly directions (Fig. 2). The wind farms and wind turbines are of similar size, although turbines at Horns Rev are pitch regulated, those at Nysted are active stall regulated with two-speed generators. The turbine spacing at Horns Rev is 7 D in both north–south and west–east directions, whereas at Nysted the turbine spacing is 5.8 D in the north–south direction and 10.5 D in the east–west direction (Fig. 3).
In the following, we have conditionally sampled the wind farm datasets to extract all 10-min periods where the incident flow is from west to east. Focusing on the west–east direction gives flow down the row in the prevailing wind direction and maximizes the wake signal. We, therefore, refer to turbines in north–south lines as “columns,” whereas those in west–east lines are “rows.” So, for example, following the turbine labeling schemes shown in Fig. 3, at Nysted there are nine wind turbines in each column (A1 … A9, B1 … B9, and so on to H1 … H9) and eight wind turbines in each row, where the northernmost row contains turbines (A1, B1 … H1) and the southernmost row turbines (A9, B9 … H9). At Horns Rev there are eight wind turbines in each column (1 … 8, 11 … 19 and so on to 91 … 98) and 10 wind turbines in each row where the northernmost row contains turbines (1, 11, 21, 31 … 81, 91) and the southernmost row (8, 18, 28, 38 … 88, 98).
The data selection criteria and processing steps areas follows:
(i) All measurements were validated comparing the power signal level to nacelle wind speed and mean pitch angle. All events like idling, start and stop sequences, and reduced power levels have been excluded. Direction is from wind turbine 7 for Horns Rev and A5 for Nysted (see Fig. 3). For the remaining turbines it is assumed that the turbines are not yawed but operating in line with the reference turbine.
(ii) The average power at each turbine is calculated for seven incident wind directions; for a wind direction where the flow is down an exact row (ER) including observations within ±2.5° (278° ± 2.5° at Nysted, 270° ± 2.5° at Horns Rev, see Fig. 3), and then for mean wind directions of +5°, +10°, and +15° and −5°, −10°, and −15° from ER. Flow down an ER thus represents the likely maximum wake effect, while the wind directions that are slightly offset from ER assist in assessing the wake width. The choice of direction and the variability included are both important to the identification of wakes, and the characterization of wake behavior. As shown in Barthelmie et al. (2009) for the single wake (i.e., at one turbine downstream), choosing the ER angle ±1° includes only the wake centerline, ±5° includes the wake center and about half the wake, extending to ±10° includes most of the wake, and beyond ±15° also includes nonwake conditions. This also illustrates the importance of accurate wind direction measurements to find the center of the wake precisely.
(iii) Data for each directional sector are then selected for three wind speed bands where the thrust coefficient is high and broadly consistent (see Fig. 1): 6 ± 0.5, 8 ± 0.5, and 10 ± 0.5 m s−1. The wind speeds are the average for the free-stream turbines in the first column and are converted from the power curve in Fig. 1.
(iv) Data are selected only if the five upwind turbines are operational. Data are only included in the analysis if two simultaneous 10-min observation periods meet the data selection criteria from (i) and (ii). This criterion is applied in an attempt to select only stationary conditions. However, this also limits the number of observations in each category.
To examine the single wake, the average power at each turbine is calculated for each wind speed and direction bin. The average power in each column of the wind farm is then calculated (turbines A1 … A9, B1 … B9, and so on to H1 … H9 at Nysted; and 1 … 8, 11 … 18, and so on to 91 … 98 at Horns Rev, see Fig. 3). The power in each column is normalized to the power in the first column (A1 … A9 at Nysted, 1 … 8 at Horns Rev).
3. Empirical analyses of wind turbine wakes
a. Single wakes and wake width
As described above, wind turbine wakes can be characterized using a range of different metrics, including wake width (i.e., the horizontal distance from the wake centerline to the edge of the region of velocity deficit), the wake depth (i.e., the velocity or power deficit at the wake centerline), and the total momentum deficit integrated over the entire wake. Herein, we focus principally on the former two, and define the wake width as the distance on each side of the centerline at which the power deficit is within ±5% of the free-stream power.
Figure 4a shows the average normalized power by wind direction for the second column (B1 … B9 at Nysted, 11 … 18 at Horns Rev). This gives a general indication of the wake width and depth observed in the second column (i.e., for single wakes), albeit with relatively poor resolution (i.e., wind direction sectors with 5° resolution). With the exception of the point at ER+5° at Nysted, there is good agreement between both the wake width and the wake depth derived from the data collected at Horns Rev and Nysted. The average difference between the normalized power for the remaining points for the directions shown is 0.03 (equivalent to about 4 W), and all points from one site are within the standard deviation of the other, suggesting that the single wake is very similar for both sites despite the different turbine spacing (10.5 D at Nysted and 7 D at Horns Rev). At the wind speeds shown (8 m s−1), lateral wind shear results in ±2% inflow variation on the wind speed at Horns Rev and ±3% at Nysted, which cannot be verified from the measurements.
A likely source of the asymmetry in the observations at Nysted is the influence of land in direction sectors from 285° northward. Modeling using WAsP (Mortensen et al. 2005) indicates wind speeds in these sectors are enhanced by about 2.8% due to a speed-up effect as flow moves from land to sea about 14-km distance from the northwest corner of the wind farm. The dashed line in Fig. 4a indicates the wake shape at Nysted assuming the value at ER+5° is equivalent to that at ER−5°.
b. Lateral wake merging
In the case of a single wake, momentum can be drawn in to the wake to reduce the velocity deficit from above, below, and either side. However, within a relatively short downwind distance the wake impacts the ground, and then in a multiple-turbine array they will merge laterally with wakes from neighboring turbines. Once the wakes merge laterally, the sole momentum reservoir available to supply momentum to the wake is from above. It is postulated that this lateral merging will manifest as 1) an erosion in the single-wake integrity when viewed as depicted in Fig. 4 as a variation in power deficit with horizontal direction, and 2) an inflection point in the power deficit decay when viewed as a horizontal transect through the wind farm (as in Fig. 5).
An interesting feature in data from both wind farms is that at the ER there is relatively little variation in the normalized power at the center of the wake regardless of the column number. This indicates that the wake superposition moving downwind has little impact on the depth of the power deficit at the wake center, or alternatively, that the power deficit at the wake center is mainly driven by the nearest upstream turbine. It further suggests that wake meandering has little or no impact on the power deficit at the wake center. Moving away from the center of the wake and examining data for the slightly oblique angles across the wind farms, the power deficit tends to increase moving downwind through the wind farm, although the magnitude of the deficit change with distance is not uniform or symmetric. At Nysted, from column 5 (E1 … E9) and farther east the power is always below 75% of the free stream, whereas at Horns Rev this does not occur until column 7 (71 … 78). This suggests that wakes are merging laterally from the third or fourth row, assuming that this process is responsible for the general wind speed decrease outside of the apparent direct wake. This is further examined by considering the power deficit by row in the next section.
c. Power deficit by downwind distance
Despite differences in the wind farm layouts (Fig. 3), when the average normalized power is computed as a function of downwind distance for the various wind speeds and directions, there is a high degree of similarity in data from Horns Rev and Nysted (Fig. 5). As indicated in the previous section, for flow down an ER (i.e., wind direction of 278° at Nysted and 270° at Horns Rev) there appears to be little influence of lateral wake merging, and after the second turbine these observations reflect the center of the wake asymptote to approximately 60% of the free-stream power. The power deficit at the second turbine is considerably reduced from the free stream but at subsequent turbines the power reduction is very small. For ER−5° and ER+5° the pattern is symmetric at Horns Rev, whereas at Nysted there is deviation at ER+5°, as discussed in the previous section. In general, for these wind directions the power reduction to the second turbine is large, but the reduction in power continues for each subsequent turbine. At ER ± 10° and ER ± 15°, the pattern evolves to one of a smaller change in the power from the first to the second turbine (and sometimes the third turbine) and a more distinct general downward trend moving through the wind farm. By the last turbine of the wind farm (8 wind turbines at Nysted and 10 at Horns Rev), the power output has reached a similar level to that for ER. This may be a result of the lateral merging of wind turbine wakes as discussed above. The difference between the (ER and ER ± 5°) cases and the (ER ± 10° and ER ± 15°) cases cannot be due to downwind merging, changes in the turbulence/vertical exchange over the wind farm, or the impact of turbine wakes with the ground, because the downwind distance at the end of the wind farms is very similar in both direct and more oblique flow through the wind farm.
As shown above, the width of the single wake is about 10° on either side of the wake centerline over the distance between the turbines in each row (10.5 D at Nysted and 7 D at Horns Rev). Figure 4 illustrates that power output (and therefore wind speeds) in-between the second turbine wakes are close to the free stream, and this can also be true at the third turbine. This can be seen by a return to a normalized power of 1 close to the edges of the wake (ER ± 15°) for the second column. Deeper in the wind farm to turbine column 5 or 6, although the central wake shape may still be discerned, in-between the power output is also reduced. The question is whether this is due to lateral wake merging or a different effect, such as pressure variations or the general momentum reduction outside of the wake area. It is clear from previous work that this general reduction in power output does not occur in small offshore wind farms in Denmark (Barthelmie et al. 2007b, 2006).
Power observations for equivalent wind speeds of 10.0 ± 0.5 m s−1 show similar results to those depicted in Fig. 5 for a free-stream wind speed of 8 m s−1. For equivalent wind speeds of 6.0 ± 0.5 m s−1 there are similar results at Horns Rev; however, at Nysted by ER ± 5°, there is more of a general decrease moving through the wind farm, which is likely because of the topographic effects associated with land in the upwind direction. This emphasizes the need for careful data screening and demonstrates that the results are still highly dependent on how data are selected, and this leads to a high degree of uncertainty in the model comparisons. Also, the standard deviation of the observations of normalized power as a function of turbine column is relatively large, ranging from 0.13 to 0.43 at Nysted and 0.07 to 0.51 at Horns Rev for the 8 m s−1 case. This has implications for the model evaluation presented in section 4.
4. Modeling wind turbine wakes: Model evaluation
An overview of the main features of the models used in this analysis is given in Table 2 and further details can be found in Barthelmie et al. (2009). Most of these models were previously evaluated for smaller wind farms (Barthelmie et al. 2004), single wakes (Barthelmie et al. 2006), and case studies (Barthelmie et al. 2009). Here, we extend this research using the ensemble statistics developed as described in section 2 and show results for a larger range of models than was available in our earlier research. This is also the first direct comparison of wakes at Nysted and Horns Rev. Some of the models applied are industry standard models, for example, WAsP and WindFarmer, whereas others are primarily research models. One major difference between WAsP and the other models is that WAsP uses the “top-hat” (flat) formulation for the wake profile rather than a near-Gaussian shape that more realistically fits the observations. Because the total momentum deficit in the wake is conserved, the use of the top-hat wake profile gives a smaller velocity deficit at the center of the wake. It is worthy to note that WAsP is being used beyond its recommended limits to simulate wakes for the ensemble statistics. In the following, WAsP is employed with a standard offshore wake decay coefficient of 0.04 for cases in ±5° sectors, while the other models and observations are shown for ±2.5° sectors. In addition, for WindFarmer and Wakefarm this is the second time they have been applied to data from Horns Rev, and based on the first evaluation, model improvements have been undertaken. Results from the National Technical University of Athens (NTUA) CFD model are the first results from the full CFD code run for three central rows of the wind farm. If wind farms are far enough from the coast not to experience consistent gradients of wind speed over the area of the wind farm, the rows other than the external rows are expected to experience similar wake behavior. Therefore, to limit the computing resources required, three rows may be simulated and substituted for the remaining turbines (excluding the external row).
There are a number of issues in comparing model simulations and wind farm observations of power losses in wakes that were detailed in Barthelmie et al. (2009). Similarly, it is difficult to make exactly the same simulations with models of different types even after the main variables, such as thrust coefficient, wind speed at hub height, free-stream wind profile, etc., have been set. Examples of this are that it is not possible to run WAsP for extremely narrow wind speed and direction bins because WAsP relies on a Weibull fit to the wind speed observations. For CFD, one issue is to accurately determine the turbulence profile and to recall that, for narrow sectors, the wake is centered on the given direction and no directional variability is included. As shown in Table 2, there are also practical issues relating to computing resources. Running a full wind farm simulation in WAsP takes of the order of minutes, while in the NTUA model requires a time scale of days to make even one simulation limiting the number of runs performed.
a. Single wakes and wake width
Figure 6 provides an example of the normalized power observed and modeled for the second column of wind turbines at Nysted and Horns Rev for a free-stream wind speed of 8 ± 0.5 m s−1. All four models capture the wake width at both Horns Rev and Nysted to within the experimental uncertainty. WindFarmer and Wakefarm exhibit greater agreement with the observed wake depth than WAsP at Nysted, though both Wakefarm and WAsP underestimate the magnitude of the wake depth. At Horns Rev, all the models lie within the experimental uncertainty (i.e., ±0.5 * standard deviation from the mean), in terms of the wake magnitude for all wind directions.
As shown in Fig. 6, when the models are applied to the entire wind farm and evaluated for the eighth column, a more complex situation is observed. Model simulations from WAsP are within the standard deviation of the observations for ER at Horns Rev, but otherwise at Horns Rev and Nysted the normalized power is overpredicted by WAsP. In other words, predicted wakes’ losses deep in the array are too small, particularly at Nysted. Results from Wakefarm and WindFarmer are mainly within ±0.5 standard deviation of the mean derived from the observations, indicating satisfactory performance. Simulations using the NTUA CFD model for Horns Rev indicate good performance in the second column and for both ER and ER ± 5° in the eighth column but underpredict wake losses for both ER ± 10° and ER ± 15°.
RMSE (m s−1) for each model prediction versus observation of the mean turbine power by wind direction and wind speed class at Nysted and Horns Rev are given in Table 3. For a free-stream wind speed of 8 m s−1 averaging over all wind directions considered yields an RMSE of normalized power (modeled versus observed) of 0.07, 0.06, and 0.15 for WindFarmer, Wakefarm and WAsP, based on data from Nysted. Comparable results for analyses of the Horns Rev wind farm are 0.07 for the CFD model from NTUA, 0.07 for WindFarmer, 0.08 for Wakefarm, and 0.12 for WAsP. In general, the RMSE summarized in Table 3 indicates that the models perform better (i.e., exhibit lower RMSE) for higher wind speeds (10 rather than 6 m s−1) and for direct flow down the row (i.e., ER) than for oblique angles.
b. Power deficit by downwind distance
Average normalized power as a function of downwind distance for a free-stream wind speed of 8 ± 0.5 m s−1 for the seven wind directions as derived from the various models and observations are shown in Fig. 7 for Nysted and Fig. 8 for Horns Rev. As shown, for all of the cases the models lie within the uncertainty bounds from the observations, due in part to the very large observational variability. At Nysted, the Wakefarm and WindFarmer models appear to capture the shape of power deficit as a function of distance into the wind farm, with the exception of WindFarmer at an incident wind direction of 263°. At Horns Rev (Fig. 8), there is good agreement between models and measurements in most wind directions, except at 255° where the observed values appear to be much lower than their counterpart at 285°. The CFD model applied at NTUA shows good performance at Horns Rev within the standard deviation of the observations, except beyond turbine 5 for ER ± 10° and ER ± 15° where wake losses are underpredicted. Overall the performance of the improved models WindFarmer and Wakefarm is very promising, whereas WAsP and NTUA require further modification to more accurately capture wake behavior deep inside the wind farm.
c. Wind farm efficiency
Wind farm efficiencies computed using Eq. (6) using the observations and each of the models are shown for each wind speed and wind direction in Fig. 9. With the exception of WAsP, the models do a good job predicting the wind farm efficiency at Nysted for both 8 and 10 m s−1, with less agreement away from the wake center for 6 m s−1. At Horns Rev, the results are more variable, but there is also more uncertainty in the data because there are fewer observations (1 yr of data rather than 2). At 8 and 10 m s−1, the results from the Wakefarm and WindFarmer models are consistent in the wake center and likely within data uncertainty for the other directions. WAsP seems to be performing well at 8 m s−1, but when applied in the standard formulation as herein it gives very different results for the other wind speeds. The results from the CFD model applied by NTUA to Horns Rev for a wind speed of 8 m s−1 are extremely promising, particularly given that this is the first application of CFD to multiple turbines in multiple rows.
5. Conclusions
Major issues in accurately predicting average power output from large offshore wind farms include the assessment of power losses due to wakes and to flow interactions with neighboring wind farms. Here, a systematic analysis is presented, which was undertaken to address whether conditionally sampled observational data from two offshore wind farms with different layouts and turbine spacing can be used to quantify the relationship between wind turbine spacing and wake losses for realistic layout configurations, to provide an evaluation of wind turbine wake models and to provide a further assessment of the entire wind farm array effects.
As expected, the two datasets show broad similarities in terms of wake depth and width, although the layout of the two wind farms in terms of turbine spacing is different. Indeed, the differences in turbine spacing (10.5 versus 7 D) are not differentiable in the data ensembles from the two wind farms despite careful data screening. Analysis of the observations suggests that the wake center is either preserved as it moves through the wind farm or is dictated by the nearest upstream wake. In-between the apparent direct wake, a general wind speed decrease is noted from about the third column (i.e., approximately 20–30 D downstream of the leading edge of the wind farm), which is ascribed here to lateral wake merging, although there are other potential causes.
Model simulations were evaluated comparing wake width and normalized power output by turbine moving through the wind farm for both the industry standard and research models. All the models were able to capture wake width to some degree, and some models also captured the decrease of power output moving through the wind farm. Root-mean-square errors indicate generally better model performance for higher wind speeds (10 rather than 6 m s−1) and for direct down the row flow than for oblique angles. The first application of CFD to the simulation of wakes in a multiturbine, multirow wind farm exhibits very promising results relative to the observations from Horns Rev.
Acknowledgments
Research funded in part by EU project UpWind SES6 019945 and NSF CBET-0828655. We would like to acknowledge DONG Energy A/S, Vattenfall AB, and E.On Sweden, owners of the Horns Rev and Nysted wind farms.
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Description of the major characteristics of the Horns Rev and Nysted offshore wind farms.
Overview of models used in the UpWind wakes research.
RMSE of normalized power from the models vs observations by wind direction and wind speed at Nysted and Horns Rev. Recall there are only three wind directions for WAsP and seven for the other models, because WAsP was applied for ±5° sectors, while the other models are applied for the specified wind direction ±2.5°.