Overview
- The research group of Professor Keilis-Borok is highly renowned worldwide because of their holistic approach to earthquake research.
- Includes supplementary material: sn.pub/extras
Part of the book series: Springer Series in Synergetics (SSSYN)
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About this book
The vulnerability of our civilization to earthquakes is rapidly growing, rais ing earthquakes to the ranks of major threats faced by humankind. Earth quake prediction is necessary to reduce that threat by undertaking disaster preparedness measures. This is one of the critically urgent problems whose solution requires fundamental research. At the same time, prediction is a ma jor tool of basic science, a source of heuristic constraints and the final test of theories. This volume summarizes the state-of-the-art in earthquake prediction. Its following aspects are considered: - Existing prediction algorithms and the quality of predictions they pro vide. - Application of such predictions for damage reduction, given their current accuracy, so far limited. - Fundamental understanding of the lithosphere gained in earthquake prediction research. - Emerging possibilities for major improvements of earthquake prediction methods. - Potential implications for predicting other disasters, besides earthquakes. Methodologies. At the heart of the research described here is the inte gration of three methodologies: phenomenological analysis of observations; "universal" models of complex systems such as those considered in statistical physics and nonlinear dynamics; and Earth-specific models of tectonic fault networks. In addition, the theory of optimal control is used to link earthquake prediction with earthquake preparedness.
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Table of contents (6 chapters)
Reviews
"This is an excellent book, [...] the first (to my knowledge) to deal with the Dynamics of the Lithosphere from the point of view of Dynamical Systems. [...] The book is well written and clearly organized. Every chapter is self-contained and addressed to graduate students and researchers in general." (Antoni M. Correig Blanchar, Newsletter of the European Geophysical Society, Oct. 15. 2003)
Editors and Affiliations
Bibliographic Information
Book Title: Nonlinear Dynamics of the Lithosphere and Earthquake Prediction
Editors: Vladimir I. Keilis-Borok, Alexandre A. Soloviev
Series Title: Springer Series in Synergetics
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-05298-3
Publisher: Springer Berlin, Heidelberg
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eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive
Copyright Information: Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2003
Hardcover ISBN: 978-3-540-43528-0Published: 10 December 2002
Softcover ISBN: 978-3-642-07806-4Published: 09 December 2010
eBook ISBN: 978-3-662-05298-3Published: 14 March 2013
Series ISSN: 0172-7389
Series E-ISSN: 2198-333X
Edition Number: 1
Number of Pages: XIII, 337
Topics: Geophysics/Geodesy, Complex Systems, Earth Sciences, general, Statistical Physics and Dynamical Systems