Abstract
Agent based models (ABM) are computational models employed for simulating the actions and interactions of autonomous agents with the objective of assessing their effects on the system as a whole. They have been extensively applied in social sciences because ABM simulations, under different running conditions, can help to test the implications of a policy intervention or to observe the population dynamics in different scenarios. We have developed an ABM to model how citizens behave with respect to superblocks, i.e., a type of social innovation where the urban space is reorganized to maximize public space and foster social and economic interactions while minimizing private motorized transports. In this model, the main entity is the citizen agent, so we must acquire personal attribute information to calibrate, validate, and apply the model to test different policy scenarios. Two main data sources were used to derive this information: census data and a survey. However, both were insufficient to generate a realistic population for the model. In this work we present how decision trees were used to generate a synthetic population using both types of data sources.
Work in this paper has been supported by the European Commission’s Horizon 2020 project SMARTEES (grant agreement no. 763912).
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
- 1.
SMARTEES: Social Innovation Modelling Approaches to Realizing Transition to Energy Efficiency and Sustainability (https://local-social-innovation.eu/).
References
Alonso-Betanzos, A., et al. (eds.): Agent-Based Modeling of Sustainable Behaviors. UCS, Springer, Cham (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-46331-5
Antosz, P., et al.: Smartees simulation implementations (2020). https://local-social-innovation.eu/resources/deliverables/, Deliverable 7.3, SMARTEES project
Barthelemy, J., Toint, P.L.: Synthetic population generation without a sample. Transp. Sci. 47(2), 266–279 (2013)
Bruch, E., Atwell, J.: Agent-based models in empirical social research. Sociol. Methods Res. 44(2), 186–221 (2015)
Burger, A., Oz, T., Crooks, A., Kennedy, W.G.: Generation of realistic mega-city populations and social networks for agent-based modeling. In: Proceedings of the 2017 International Conference of The Computational Social Science Society of the Americas, pp. 1–7 (2017)
Chawla, N.V., Bowyer, K.W., Hall, L.O., Kegelmeyer, W.P.: SMOTE: synthetic minority over-sampling technique. J. Artif. Intell. Res. 16, 321–357 (2002)
Gilbert, N., Terna, P.: How to build and use agent-based models in social science. Mind Soc. 1, 57–72 (2020)
Gu, X., Blackmore, K.: A systematic review of agent-based modelling and simulation applications in the higher education domain. Higher Educ. Res. Dev. 34(5), 883–898 (2015)
Huang, Z., Williamson, P.: A comparison of synthetic reconstruction and combinatorial optimisation approaches to the creation of small-area microdata. Department of Geography, University of Liverpool (2001)
Huynh, N., Namazi-Rad, M.R., Perez, P., Berryman, M., Chen, Q., Barthelemy, J.: Generating a synthetic population in support of agent-based modeling of transportation in sydney. In : Adapting to Change: The Multiple Roles of Modelling. 20th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation (MODSIM2013), Adelaide, Australia, December, pp. 1–6 (2013)
Huynh, N.N., Barthelemy, J., Perez, P.: A heuristic combinatorial optimisation approach to synthesising a population for agent-based modelling purposes. J. Artif. Soc. Soc. Simul. 19(4), 11 (2016)
Jager, W., Scholz, G., Mellema, R., Kurahashi, S.: The energy transition game: experiences and ways forward. In: Kurahashi, S., Takahashi, H. (eds.) Innovative Approaches in Agent-Based Modelling and Business Intelligence. ASS, vol. 12, pp. 237–252. Springer, Singapore (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-1849-8_17
Lovelace, R., Birkin, M., Ballas, D., Leeuwen, E.S.: Evaluating the performance of iterative proportional fitting for spatial microsimulation: new tests for an established technique. J. Artif. Soc. Social Simul. 18, 21 (2015). https://doi.org/10.18564/jasss.2768
Müller, K., Axhausen, K.W.: Hierarchical IPF: generating a synthetic population for switzerland. Arbeitsberichte Verkehrs-und Raumplanung 718 (2011)
Williamson, P., Birkin, M., Rees, P.H.: The estimation of population microdata by using data from small area statistics and samples of anonymised records. Environ. Plan. A 30(5), 785–816 (1998)
Wilson, A.G., Pownall, C.E.: A new representation of the urban system for modelling and for the study of micro-level interdependence. In: Area, pp. 246–254 (1976)
Ye, X., Konduri, K., Pendyala, R.M., Sana, B., Waddell, P.: A methodology to match distributions of both household and person attributes in the generation of synthetic populations. In: 88th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC (2009)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2021 Springer Nature Switzerland AG
About this paper
Cite this paper
Alonso-Betanzos, A., Guijarro-Berdiñas, B., Rodríguez-Arias, A., Sánchez-Maroño, N. (2021). Generating a Synthetic Population of Agents Through Decision Trees and Socio Demographic Data. In: Rojas, I., Joya, G., Català, A. (eds) Advances in Computational Intelligence. IWANN 2021. Lecture Notes in Computer Science(), vol 12862. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-85099-9_11
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-85099-9_11
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-85098-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-85099-9
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)