Abstract
Water is vital for life; however, water is a scarce natural resource that is under serious threat of depletion. South Africa and indeed the Free State is a water-scarce region, and facing growing challenges of delivering fresh and adequate water to the people. In order to effectively manage surface water, monitoring and predictions tools are required to inform decision makers on a real-time basis. Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have proven that they can be used to develop such prediction models and tools. This research makes use of experimentation, prototyping and case study to develop, identify and evaluate the ANN with best surface water level prediction capabilities. What ANN’s techniques and algorithms are the most suitable for predicting surface water levels given parameters such as water levels, precipitation, air temperature, wind speed, wind direction? How accurately will the ANNs developed predict surface water levels of the Modder River catchment area?
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Similar content being viewed by others
References
U.S. Agriculture: Natural Resources Conservation Service—Water Management (n.d.). http://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/main/national/water/manage/. Accessed 8 Aug 2016
Blerk, J.V.: Water for equitable growth and development, Chap. 2. In: Natural Water Resource Strategy (2012)
Chhachhiya, D., Sharma, A.: Recapitulation on transformations in neural network back propagation algorithm. Int. J. Inf. Comput. Technol. 3, 323–328 (2013)
Graupe, D.: Principles of Artificial Neural Networks. World Scientific, Singapore (2013)
Ishmael, S., Msiza, F.V.: Artificial neural networks and support vector machines for water (2007)
Schewea, J., Heinke, J.: Multimodel assessment of water scarcity under climate change. PNAS 111, 3245–3250 (2014)
Masinde, E.M.: Bridge between African Indigenous knowledge and modern science on drought prediction. ITIKI (2012)
Karayiannis, N., Venetsanopoulos, A.N.: Artificial Neural Networks: Learning Algorithms, Performance Evaluation, and Applications. Springer, New York (2013)
Govindaraju, R.S., Rao, A.R.: Artificial Neural Networks in Hydrology. Springer, Heidelberg (2013)
Reform, N.D.: Free State Province Provincial Spatial Development Framework (PSDF), 2 (2013)
Tetsoane, S.T., Woyessa, Y.: Impact of rainwater harvesting on the hydrology of Modder River Basin. Water Institute of SA (2008)
Shoham, Y.: Artificial Intelligence Techniques in Prolog. Morgan Kaufmann, Burlington (2014)
Hedden, S., Cilliers, J.: The emerging water crisis in South Africa. African Futures Paper (2014)
Coleman, T.J., van Rooyen, P.: Framework for future water resource analysis in South Africa (2007)
Woyessa, Y.E., Pretorius, E.: Implications of rainwater harvesting in a river basin management: evidence from the Modder River basin, South Africa. Prog. Water Resour. 12 (2005)
Chiang, Y.-M., Chang, L.-C., Chang, F.-J.: Dynamic neural networks for real-time water level predictions of sewerage systems-covering gauged and ungauged sites. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 14, 1309–1319 (2010)
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2019 ICST Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering
About this paper
Cite this paper
van Vuuren, J.J., Masinde, M., Luwes, N. (2019). Development of an Artificial Neural Network Model for Predicting Surface Water Level: Case of Modder River Catchment Area. In: Zitouni, R., Agueh, M. (eds) Emerging Technologies for Developing Countries. AFRICATEK 2018. Lecture Notes of the Institute for Computer Sciences, Social Informatics and Telecommunications Engineering, vol 260. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05198-3_8
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05198-3_8
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-05197-6
Online ISBN: 978-3-030-05198-3
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)