All arguments share certain key similarities: they have a goal and some support for the goal, although the form of the goal and support may vary dramatically. Human argumentation is also typically enthymematic, i.e., people produce and expect arguments that omit easily inferable information. In this chapter, we draw on the insights obtained from a decade of research to formulate requirements common to computational systems that interpret human arguments and generate their own arguments. To ground our discussion, we describe how some of these requirements are addressed by two probabilistic argumentation systems developed by the User Modeling and Natural Language (UMNL) Group at Monash University: the argument generation system nag (Nice Argument Generator) [18, 19, 20, 38, 39, 40], and the argument interpretation system bias (Bayesian Interactive Argumentation System) [7, 8, 34, 35, 36, 37].
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
J. R. Anderson. The Architecture of Cognition. Harvard University Press, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 1983.
E. Charniak and R. Goldman. A Bayesian model of plan recognition. Artificial Intelligence, 64(1):53–79, 1993.
J. Chu-Carroll and S. Carberry. Response generation in collaborative negotiation. In Proceedings of the 33rd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 136–143, 1995.
J. Chu-Carroll and S. Carberry. Conflict resolution in collaborative planning dialogues. International Journal of Human Computer Studies, 6(56):969–1015, 2000.
T. Dean and M. Boddy. An analysis of time-dependent planning. In AAAI88 – Proceedings of the 7th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 49–54, St. Paul, Minnesota, 1988.
J. Evans. Bias in human reasoning: Causes and consequences. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Hillsdale, New Jersey, 1989.
S. George, I. Zukerman, and M. Niemann. Modeling suppositions in users’ arguments. In UM05 – Proceedings of the 10th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 19–29, Edinburgh, Scotland, 2005.
S. George, I. Zukerman, and M. Niemann. Inferences, suppositions and explanatory extensions in argument interpretation. User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, 17(5):439–474, 2007.
A. Gertner, C. Conati, and K. VanLehn. Procedural help in Andes: Generating hints using a Bayesian network student model. In AAAI98 – Proceedings of the 15th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 106–111, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.
N. Green and S. Carberry. A hybrid reasoning model for indirect answers. In Proceedings of the 32nd Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics, pages 58–65, Las Cruces, New Mexico, 1994.
J. R. Hobbs, M. E. Stickel, D. E. Appelt, and P. Martin. Interpretation as abduction. Artificial Intelligence, 63(1-2):69–142, 1993.
H. Horacek. How to avoid explaining obvious things (without omitting central information). In ECAI94 – Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 520–524, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1994.
E. Horvitz and T. Paek. A computational architecture for conversation. In UM99 – Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 201–210, Banff, Canada, 1999.
E. Horvitz, H. Suermondt, and G. Cooper. Bounded conditioning: flexible inference for decision under scarce resources. In UAI89 – Proceedings of the 1989 Workshop on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, pages 182–193, Windsor, Canada, 1989.
X. Huang and A. Fiedler. Proof verbalization as an application of NLG. In IJCAI97 – Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 965–970, Nagoya, Japan, 1997.
D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky. Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases. Cambridge University Press, 1982.
K. Korb and A. Nicholson. Bayesian Artificial Intelligence. Chapman & Hall/CRC, 2004.
K. B. Korb, R. McConachy, and I. Zukerman. A cognitive model of argumentation. In Proceedings of the 19th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pages 400–405, Stanford, California, 1997.
R. McConachy, K. B. Korb, and I. Zukerman. Deciding what not to say: An attentional-probabilistic approach to argument presentation. In Proceedings of the 20th Annual Conference of the Cognitive Science Society, pages 669–674, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.
R. McConachy and I. Zukerman. Towards a dialogue capability in a Bayesian argumentation system. ETAI 3 – Electronic Transactions of Artificial Intelligence (Section D), pages 89–124, 1999.
S. Mehl. Forward inferences in text generation. In ECAI94 – Proceedings of the 11th European Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 525–529, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, 1994.
H. Ng and R. Mooney. On the role of coherence in abductive explanation. In AAAI90 – Proceedings of the 8th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 337–342, Boston, Massachusetts, 1990.
S. H. Nielsen and S. Parsons. An application of formal argumentation: Fusing Bayesian networks in multi-agent systems. Artificial Intelligence, 171:754–775, 2007.
R. Nisbett, E. Borgida, R. Crandall, and H. Reed. Popular induction: Information is not necessarily informative. In J. Carroll and J. Payne, editors, Cognition and social behavior, pages 113–133. Hillsdale, NJ: LEA, 1976.
N. Oren, T. Norman, and A. Preece. Subjective logic and arguing with evidence. Artificial Intelligence, 171:838–854, 2007.
J. Pearl. Probabilistic Reasoning in Intelligent Systems. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers, San Mateo, California, 1988.
A. Quilici. Detecting and responding to plan-oriented misconceptions. In A. Kobsa and W. Wahlster, editors, User Models in Dialog Systems, pages 108–132. Springer-Verlag, 1989.
C. Reed and D. Long. Content ordering in the generation of persuasive discourse. In IJCAI97 – Proceedings of the 15th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 1022–1027, Nagoya, Japan, 1997.
G. Rowe and C. Reed. Argument diagramming: The Araucaria project. In A. Okada, S. Buckingham Shum, and A. Sherborne, editors, Knowledge Cartography, pages 163–181. Springer, 2008.
R. H. Thomason, J. R. Hobbs, and J. D. Moore. Communicative goals. In Proceedings of ECAI96 Workshop – Gaps and Bridges: New Directions in Planning and NLG, pages 7–12, Budapest, Hungary, 1996.
T. van Gelder. Teaching critical thinking: some lessons from cognitive science. College Teaching, 45(1):1–6, 2005.
G. Vreeswijk. iacas: An interactive argumentation system. Technical Report CS 94-03, Department of Computer Science, University of Limburg, 1994.
C. Wallace. Statistical and Inductive Inference by Minimum Message Length. Springer, Berlin, Germany, 2005.
I. Zukerman. An integrated approach for generating arguments and rebuttals and understanding rejoinders. In UM01 – Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 84–94, Sonthofen, Germany, 2001.
I. Zukerman. Discourse interpretation as model selection – a probabilistic approach. In B. Bouchon-Meunier, C. Marsala, M. Rifqi, and R. Yager, editors, Uncertainty and Intelligent Information Systems, pages 61–73. World Scientific, 2008.
I. Zukerman and S. George. A probabilistic approach for argument interpretation. User Modeling and User-Adapted Interaction, Special Issue on Language-Based Interaction, 15(1-2):5–53, 2005.
I. Zukerman, S. George, and M. George. Incorporating a user model into an information theoretic framework for argument interpretation. In UM03 – Proceedings of the 9th International Conference on User Modeling, pages 106–116, Johnstown, Pennsylvania, 2003.
I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, and K. B. Korb. Bayesian reasoning in an abductive mechanism for argument generation and analysis. In AAAI98 – Proceedings of the 15th National Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 833–838, Madison, Wisconsin, 1998.
I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, and K. B. Korb. Using argumentation strategies in automated argument generation. In INLG’2000 – Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Natural Language Generation, pages 55–62, Mitzpe Ramon, Israel, 2000.
I. Zukerman, R. McConachy, K. B. Korb, and D. A. Pickett. Exploratory interaction with a Bayesian argumentation system. In IJCAI99 – Proceedings of the 16th International Joint Conference on Artificial Intelligence, pages 1294–1299, Stockholm, Sweden, 1999.
Acknowledgements
The author thanks her collaborators on the research described in this chapter: Sarah George, Natalie Jitnah, Kevin Korb, Richard McConachy and Michael Niemann. This research was supported in part by grants A49531227, A49927212 and DP0344013 from the Australian Research Council, and by the ARC Centre for Perceptive and Intelligent Machines in Complex Environments.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2009 Springer-Verlag US
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Zukerman, I. (2009). Towards Probabilistic Argumentation. In: Simari, G., Rahwan, I. (eds) Argumentation in Artificial Intelligence. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-98197-0_22
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-98197-0_22
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-0-387-98196-3
Online ISBN: 978-0-387-98197-0
eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)