{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3105395518","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","title":"Inferring Causality from Noisy Time Series Data - A Test of Convergent Cross-Mapping","display_name":"Inferring Causality from Noisy Time Series Data - A Test of Convergent Cross-Mapping","publication_year":2016,"publication_date":"2016-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3105395518","doi":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","mag":"3105395518"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"type":"preprint","type_crossref":"proceedings-article","indexed_in":["arxiv","crossref","datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5044960108","display_name":"Dan M\u00f8nster","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9639-8823"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204337017","display_name":"Aarhus University","ror":"https://ror.org/01aj84f44","country_code":"DK","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Dan M\u00f8nster","raw_affiliation_strings":["Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5018733566","display_name":"Riccardo Fusaroli","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4775-5219"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204337017","display_name":"Aarhus University","ror":"https://ror.org/01aj84f44","country_code":"DK","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Riccardo Fusaroli","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Semiotics, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 2, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Semiotics, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 2, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5023034161","display_name":"Kristian Tyl\u00e9n","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7492-0078"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204337017","display_name":"Aarhus University","ror":"https://ror.org/01aj84f44","country_code":"DK","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Kristian Tyl\u00e9n","raw_affiliation_strings":["Center for Semiotics, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 2, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Center for Semiotics, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 2, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5042550344","display_name":"Andreas Roepstorff","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3665-1708"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204337017","display_name":"Aarhus University","ror":"https://ror.org/01aj84f44","country_code":"DK","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Andreas Roepstorff","raw_affiliation_strings":["Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Interacting Minds Centre, Aarhus University, Jens Chr. Skous Vej 4, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5080346697","display_name":"Jacob Sherson","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6048-587X"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I204337017","display_name":"Aarhus University","ror":"https://ror.org/01aj84f44","country_code":"DK","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}],"countries":["DK"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Jacob F. Sherson","raw_affiliation_strings":["AU Ideas Center for Community Driven Research, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 120, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","Department of Physics and Astronomy, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 120, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Department of Physics and Astronomy, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 120, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]},{"raw_affiliation_string":"AU Ideas Center for Community Driven Research, Aarhus University, Ny Munkegade 120, 8000 Aarhus C, Denmark","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"]}]}],"institution_assertions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5044960108"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I204337017"],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":true,"fulltext_origin":"pdf","cited_by_count":10,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.982467,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":true},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":86,"max":87},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":"48","last_page":"56"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9912,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11270","display_name":"Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis","score":0.9912,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2002","display_name":"Economics and Econometrics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/20","display_name":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T12205","display_name":"Time Series Analysis and Forecasting","score":0.9805,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1711","display_name":"Signal Processing"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10244","display_name":"Chaos control and synchronization","score":0.9727,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3109","display_name":"Statistical and Nonlinear Physics"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/31","display_name":"Physics and Astronomy"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/causality","display_name":"Causality","score":0.57311827}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.60507345},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151406439","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186588","display_name":"Time series","level":2,"score":0.5994858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C143724316","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q312468","display_name":"Series (stratigraphy)","level":2,"score":0.59395313},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C64357122","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1149766","display_name":"Causality (physics)","level":2,"score":0.57311827},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777267654","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q3519023","display_name":"Test (biology)","level":2,"score":0.45143184},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2777303404","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759757","display_name":"Convergence (economics)","level":2,"score":0.43276817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.40448838},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.36880875},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C11413529","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8366","display_name":"Algorithm","level":1,"score":0.36781165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.21226057},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C151730666","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7205","display_name":"Paleontology","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C86803240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q420","display_name":"Biology","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C162324750","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8134","display_name":"Economics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C50522688","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q189833","display_name":"Economic growth","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":5,"locations":[{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/1603.01155","pdf_url":"https://arxiv.org/pdf/1603.01155","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cornell University"],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pure.au.dk/portal/en/publications/68e4e6d8-fa90-4cbe-83e1-8385d84d4284","pdf_url":"https://pure.au.dk/portal/files/99599225/M_nster_et_al_2016_Inferring_Causality_from_Noisy_Time_Series_data.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400063","display_name":"Scopus (Elsevier)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://pure.au.dk/ws/files/99599225/M_nster_et_al_2016_Inferring_Causality_from_Noisy_Time_Series_data.pdf","pdf_url":"https://pure.au.dk/ws/files/99599225/M_nster_et_al_2016_Inferring_Causality_from_Noisy_Time_Series_data.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400063","display_name":"Scopus (Elsevier)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":null,"host_organization_name":null,"host_organization_lineage":[],"host_organization_lineage_names":[],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},{"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://api.datacite.org/dois/10.48550/arxiv.1603.01155","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4393179698","display_name":"DataCite API","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210145204","host_organization_name":"DataCite","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210145204"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["DataCite"],"type":"metadata"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null}],"best_oa_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.5220/0005932600480056","pdf_url":null,"source":null,"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"grants":[],"datasets":[],"versions":["https://openalex.org/W2290526893","https://openalex.org/W3105395518"],"referenced_works_count":28,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W122965473","https://openalex.org/W1517729176","https://openalex.org/W1549386224","https://openalex.org/W1620414136","https://openalex.org/W1977522998","https://openalex.org/W1998367480","https://openalex.org/W2001310261","https://openalex.org/W2004021828","https://openalex.org/W2028593965","https://openalex.org/W2030308994","https://openalex.org/W2040704490","https://openalex.org/W2041782669","https://openalex.org/W2047673811","https://openalex.org/W2055273782","https://openalex.org/W2068683606","https://openalex.org/W2068844879","https://openalex.org/W2081681829","https://openalex.org/W2083278075","https://openalex.org/W2102892532","https://openalex.org/W2108139264","https://openalex.org/W2133222526","https://openalex.org/W2143117649","https://openalex.org/W2167329007","https://openalex.org/W2178225550","https://openalex.org/W4247961814","https://openalex.org/W4249543038","https://openalex.org/W4303090068","https://openalex.org/W804862420"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4312071518","https://openalex.org/W2901208600","https://openalex.org/W2622688551","https://openalex.org/W2389053294","https://openalex.org/W2119012848","https://openalex.org/W2081494945","https://openalex.org/W1990205660","https://openalex.org/W1970893504","https://openalex.org/W1677090476","https://openalex.org/W1550175370"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Convergent":[0],"Cross-Mapping":[1],"(CCM)":[2],"has":[3],"shown":[4],"high":[5],"potential":[6],"to":[7,41,123],"perform":[8],"causal":[9,98],"inference":[10],"in":[11,32,50,54,90],"the":[12,18,23,55,63,69,75,101],"absence":[13],"of":[14,22,57,65,71,81,105,115],"models.":[15],"We":[16,36,60],"assess":[17],"strengths":[19],"and":[20,29,46,53,118],"weaknesses":[21],"method":[24],"by":[25],"varying":[26],"coupling":[27,44],"strength":[28,45],"noise":[30,66,88],"levels":[31,80],"coupled":[33,92],"logistic":[34],"maps.":[35],"find":[37,61],"that":[38,62,86],"CCM":[39,116],"fails":[40],"infer":[42],"accurate":[43,97,113],"even":[47],"causality":[48],"direction":[49],"synchronized":[51],"time-series":[52],"presence":[56,64],"intermediate":[58],"coupling.":[59],"deterministically":[67],"reduces":[68],"level":[70],"cross-mapping":[72],"fidelity,":[73],"while":[74],"convergence":[76],"rate":[77],"exhibits":[78],"higher":[79],"robustness.":[82],"Finally,":[83],"we":[84],"propose":[85],"controlled":[87],"injections":[89],"intermediate-to-strongly":[91],"systems":[93],"could":[94],"enable":[95,110],"more":[96,112],"inferences.":[99],"Given":[100],"inherent":[102],"noisy":[103],"nature":[104],"real-world":[106],"systems,":[107],"our":[108],"findings":[109],"a":[111],"evaluation":[114],"applicability":[117],"advance":[119],"suggestions":[120],"on":[121],"how":[122],"overcome":[124],"its":[125],"weaknesses.":[126]},"abstract_inverted_index_v3":null,"cited_by_api_url":"https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W3105395518","counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":3},{"year":2020,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2019,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2017,"cited_by_count":1},{"year":2016,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-03-19T11:39:02.898666","created_date":"2020-11-23"}