{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4387158373","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2309.15552","title":"Startup success prediction and VC portfolio simulation using CrunchBase data","display_name":"Startup success prediction and VC portfolio simulation using CrunchBase data","publication_year":2023,"publication_date":"2023-01-01","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4387158373","doi":"https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2309.15552"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15552","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cornell University"],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false},"type":"preprint","type_crossref":"posted-content","indexed_in":["arxiv","datacite"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"green","oa_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15552","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5114025725","display_name":"Mark Potanin","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Potanin, Mark","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5002782799","display_name":"Andrey Chertok","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7697-0837"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Chertok, Andrey","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056852611","display_name":"Konstantin V. Zorin","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8819-6818"},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Zorin, Konstantin","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5092964491","display_name":"Cyril Shtabtsovsky","orcid":null},"institutions":[],"countries":[],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Shtabtsovsky, Cyril","raw_affiliation_strings":[],"affiliations":[]}],"institution_assertions":[],"countries_distinct_count":0,"institutions_distinct_count":0,"corresponding_author_ids":[],"corresponding_institution_ids":[],"apc_list":null,"apc_paid":null,"fwci":null,"has_fulltext":false,"cited_by_count":1,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.861375,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":65,"max":76},"biblio":{"volume":null,"issue":null,"first_page":null,"last_page":null},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11903","display_name":"Private Equity and Venture Capital","score":0.9987,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11903","display_name":"Private Equity and Venture Capital","score":0.9987,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1402","display_name":"Accounting"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/14","display_name":"Business, Management and Accounting"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/feature-engineering","display_name":"Feature Engineering","score":0.63030165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/feature","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","score":0.47726175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/predictive-modelling","display_name":"Predictive modelling","score":0.45550773},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/investment","display_name":"Investment","score":0.41425538}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C12559387","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q185142","display_name":"Initial public offering","level":2,"score":0.7073652},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780821815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5340806","display_name":"Portfolio","level":2,"score":0.6924621},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C21279758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q219409","display_name":"Venture capital","level":2,"score":0.67088354},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.66878414},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2778827112","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q22245680","display_name":"Feature engineering","level":3,"score":0.63030165},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C136197465","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q1729295","display_name":"Variety (cybernetics)","level":2,"score":0.59122735},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.55734587},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.5544257},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2522767166","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2374463","display_name":"Data science","level":1,"score":0.5426744},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.48839468},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2776401178","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12050496","display_name":"Feature (linguistics)","level":2,"score":0.47726175},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C45804977","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7239673","display_name":"Predictive modelling","level":2,"score":0.45550773},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C79158427","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q485396","display_name":"Analytics","level":2,"score":0.44166267},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C27548731","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q88272","display_name":"Investment (military)","level":3,"score":0.41425538},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C108583219","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q197536","display_name":"Deep learning","level":2,"score":0.41390973},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C10138342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q43015","display_name":"Finance","level":1,"score":0.20322639},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C144133560","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q4830453","display_name":"Business","level":0,"score":0.13190323},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41895202","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8162","display_name":"Linguistics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C138885662","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5891","display_name":"Philosophy","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C94625758","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7163","display_name":"Politics","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C17744445","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q36442","display_name":"Political science","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C199539241","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7748","display_name":"Law","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":3,"locations":[{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15552","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cornell University"],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15552","pdf_url":"http://arxiv.org/pdf/2309.15552","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cornell University"],"type":"repository"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false},{"is_oa":false,"landing_page_url":"https://api.datacite.org/dois/10.48550/arxiv.2309.15552","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4393179698","display_name":"DataCite API","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I4210145204","host_organization_name":"DataCite","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I4210145204"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["DataCite"],"type":"metadata"},"license":null,"license_id":null,"version":null}],"best_oa_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15552","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306400194","display_name":"arXiv (Cornell University)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I205783295","host_organization_name":"Cornell University","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I205783295"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Cornell University"],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"submittedVersion","is_accepted":false,"is_published":false},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Industry, innovation and infrastructure","id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/9","score":0.46}],"grants":[],"datasets":[],"versions":[],"referenced_works_count":0,"referenced_works":[],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W3123351174","https://openalex.org/W2989961276","https://openalex.org/W2380075095","https://openalex.org/W2374048056","https://openalex.org/W2148030184","https://openalex.org/W2103252920","https://openalex.org/W2098073219","https://openalex.org/W2094604078","https://openalex.org/W2026126874","https://openalex.org/W2006487605"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"Predicting":[0],"startup":[1,90,214],"success":[2,61,215],"presents":[3],"a":[4,76,93,115,131,159],"formidable":[5],"challenge":[6],"due":[7],"to":[8,58,120],"the":[9,14,30,112,122,183,192,201,218],"inherently":[10],"volatile":[11],"landscape":[12],"of":[13,19,32,95,108,114,134,185,204],"entrepreneurial":[15],"ecosystem.":[16],"The":[17],"advent":[18],"extensive":[20],"databases":[21],"like":[22],"Crunchbase":[23],"jointly":[24],"with":[25],"available":[26],"open":[27],"data":[28,211],"enables":[29],"application":[31],"machine":[33],"learning":[34,86,206],"and":[35,52,79,164,177,208,216],"artificial":[36],"intelligence":[37],"for":[38,88,130,220],"more":[39],"accurate":[40],"predictive":[41,194],"analytics.":[42],"This":[43,127],"paper":[44],"focuses":[45],"on":[46,155,167],"startups":[47,171],"at":[48],"their":[49],"Series":[50,53],"B":[51,168],"C":[54],"investment":[55,125,150],"stages,":[56],"aiming":[57],"predict":[59],"key":[60],"milestones":[62],"such":[63,97],"as":[64,98],"achieving":[65],"an":[66],"Initial":[67],"Public":[68],"Offering":[69],"(IPO),":[70],"attaining":[71],"unicorn":[72],"status,":[73],"or":[74],"executing":[75],"successful":[77],"Merger":[78],"Acquisition":[80],"(M\\&A).":[81],"We":[82],"introduce":[83],"novel":[84],"deep":[85,205],"model":[87,154],"predicting":[89,213],"success,":[91],"integrating":[92],"variety":[94],"factors":[96],"funding":[99],"metrics,":[100],"founder":[101],"features,":[102],"industry":[103],"category.":[104],"A":[105],"distinctive":[106],"feature":[107,188],"our":[109,135,153,198],"research":[110,225],"is":[111],"use":[113],"comprehensive":[116],"backtesting":[117],"algorithm":[118],"designed":[119],"simulate":[121],"venture":[123],"capital":[124,162],"process.":[126],"simulation":[128],"allows":[129],"robust":[132],"evaluation":[133],"model's":[136,193],"performance":[137],"against":[138],"historical":[139],"data,":[140],"providing":[141],"actionable":[142],"insights":[143],"into":[144],"its":[145],"practical":[146],"utility":[147],"in":[148,190,212,223],"real-world":[149],"contexts.":[151],"Evaluating":[152],"Crunchbase's,":[156],"we":[157],"achieved":[158],"14":[160],"times":[161],"growth":[163],"successfully":[165],"identified":[166],"round":[169],"high-potential":[170],"including":[172],"Revolut,":[173],"DigitalOcean,":[174],"Klarna,":[175],"Github":[176],"others.":[178],"Our":[179],"empirical":[180],"findings":[181],"illuminate":[182],"importance":[184],"incorporating":[186],"diverse":[187],"sets":[189,217],"enhancing":[191],"accuracy.":[195],"In":[196],"summary,":[197],"work":[199],"demonstrates":[200],"considerable":[202],"promise":[203],"models":[207],"alternative":[209],"unstructured":[210],"stage":[219],"future":[221],"advancements":[222],"this":[224],"area.":[226]},"abstract_inverted_index_v3":null,"cited_by_api_url":"https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W4387158373","counts_by_year":[{"year":2025,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2025-04-14T06:23:05.269366","created_date":"2023-09-30"}