{"id":"https://openalex.org/W4306404081","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903","title":"A traceable process to develop Bayesian networks from scarce data and expert judgment: A human reliability analysis application","display_name":"A traceable process to develop Bayesian networks from scarce data and expert judgment: A human reliability analysis application","publication_year":2022,"publication_date":"2022-10-17","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W4306404081","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"type":"article","type_crossref":"journal-article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079344273","display_name":"Luca Podofillini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0218-0717"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","display_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3y714","country_code":"CH","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799323385","https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Luca Podofillini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Risk and Human Reliability Group, Forschungsstrasse 111 PSI, Villigen, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Risk and Human Reliability Group, Forschungsstrasse 111 PSI, Villigen, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5056738788","display_name":"B. Reer","orcid":null},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802112827","display_name":"Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate","ror":"https://ror.org/02npm8404","country_code":"CH","type":"government","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802112827"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Bernhard Reer","raw_affiliation_strings":["Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate ENSI, Eidgen\u00f6ssisches Nuklearsicherheitsinspektorat, Sektion Probabilistische Sicherheitsanalysen and Accident Management PSAM, Industriestrasse 19 AG, Brugg, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate ENSI, Eidgen\u00f6ssisches Nuklearsicherheitsinspektorat, Sektion Probabilistische Sicherheitsanalysen and Accident Management PSAM, Industriestrasse 19 AG, Brugg, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802112827"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034100882","display_name":"Vinh N. Dang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4921-2421"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","display_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3y714","country_code":"CH","type":"facility","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799323385","https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vinh N. Dang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Risk and Human Reliability Group, Forschungsstrasse 111 PSI, Villigen, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, Risk and Human Reliability Group, Forschungsstrasse 111 PSI, Villigen, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}]}],"institution_assertions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":2,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5079344273"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"],"apc_list":{"value":4190,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4190,"provenance":"doaj"},"apc_paid":{"value":4190,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4190,"provenance":"doaj"},"fwci":1.582,"has_fulltext":true,"fulltext_origin":"pdf","cited_by_count":7,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.730623,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":87,"max":89},"biblio":{"volume":"230","issue":null,"first_page":"108903","last_page":"108903"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":0.9997,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":0.9997,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11303","display_name":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","score":0.9914,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1702","display_name":"Artificial Intelligence"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/17","display_name":"Computer Science"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10809","display_name":"Occupational Health and Safety Research","score":0.9863,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3614","display_name":"Radiological and Ultrasound Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/36","display_name":"Health Professions"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-reliability","display_name":"Human reliability","score":0.48174858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/conditional-probability","display_name":"Conditional probability","score":0.44009465}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33724603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812540","display_name":"Bayesian network","level":2,"score":0.7236079},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.6533911},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C98045186","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q205663","display_name":"Process (computing)","level":2,"score":0.5899817},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.5820401},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5650721},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C49937458","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2599292","display_name":"Probabilistic logic","level":2,"score":0.56238},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191147762","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186289","display_name":"Human reliability","level":3,"score":0.48174858},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C124101348","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q172491","display_name":"Data mining","level":1,"score":0.47943893},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C119857082","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2539","display_name":"Machine learning","level":1,"score":0.4493223},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44492722","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q327069","display_name":"Conditional probability","level":2,"score":0.44009465},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.34059745},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169806903","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5937752","display_name":"Human error","level":2,"score":0.29531544},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.23764056},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.16066548},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.083254784},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C111919701","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q9135","display_name":"Operating system","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://www.dora.lib4ri.ch/psi/islandora/object/psi%3A46645","pdf_url":"https://www.dora.lib4ri.ch/psi/islandora/object/psi%3A46645/datastream/PDF/Podofillini-2023-A_traceable_process_to_develop-%28published_version%29.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402574","display_name":"DORA PSI (Paul Scherrer Institute)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","host_organization_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Paul Scherrer Institute"],"type":"repository"},"license":"other-oa","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/other-oa","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true}],"best_oa_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108903","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"sustainable_development_goals":[{"display_name":"Peace, justice, and strong institutions","score":0.57,"id":"https://metadata.un.org/sdg/16"}],"grants":[{"funder":"https://openalex.org/F4320326801","funder_display_name":"Eidgen\u00f6ssisches Nuklearsicherheitsinspektorat","award_id":"101163"}],"datasets":[],"versions":[],"referenced_works_count":35,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1969827033","https://openalex.org/W1973630153","https://openalex.org/W1973742416","https://openalex.org/W1983496457","https://openalex.org/W1993149301","https://openalex.org/W1999752258","https://openalex.org/W2002412017","https://openalex.org/W2004391279","https://openalex.org/W2009405718","https://openalex.org/W2043958153","https://openalex.org/W2050879859","https://openalex.org/W2068509236","https://openalex.org/W2143075689","https://openalex.org/W2234102487","https://openalex.org/W2315092239","https://openalex.org/W2475478763","https://openalex.org/W2536732006","https://openalex.org/W2544904518","https://openalex.org/W2885546839","https://openalex.org/W2911890521","https://openalex.org/W2950226745","https://openalex.org/W2959304058","https://openalex.org/W2972747813","https://openalex.org/W2980830490","https://openalex.org/W3093232111","https://openalex.org/W3109829832","https://openalex.org/W3110929880","https://openalex.org/W3168252602","https://openalex.org/W3197624270","https://openalex.org/W3206618924","https://openalex.org/W4206298168","https://openalex.org/W4286268670","https://openalex.org/W4298191365","https://openalex.org/W4298388828","https://openalex.org/W629598914"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4366608229","https://openalex.org/W4322208577","https://openalex.org/W4285084075","https://openalex.org/W4253015880","https://openalex.org/W2388248935","https://openalex.org/W2365680718","https://openalex.org/W2137256417","https://openalex.org/W2092780670","https://openalex.org/W2024590317","https://openalex.org/W1734881440"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,35,113],"present":[1],"paper":[2,75],"develops":[3],"a":[4,49,77],"Bayesian":[5,124],"Belief":[6],"Network":[7],"(BBN)":[8],"for":[9,80,93,120,160],"quantification":[10,71,82],"of":[11,16,32,48,59,72,83,96,105,108],"aggravating":[12],"actions,":[13],"as":[14,164],"outcomes":[15],"inappropriate":[17],"decisions,":[18],"to":[19,43,69,126,131,144,146],"be":[20],"integrated":[21],"in":[22,102],"probabilistic":[23],"safety":[24],"assessment":[25],"(PSA)":[26],"models":[27],"(i.e.,":[28],"the":[29,44,53,60,70,81,84,103,116,128,132,158],"so-called":[30],"errors":[31],"commission,":[33],"EOCs).":[34],"BBN":[36,85,129,138,162],"connects":[37],"analyst":[38,170],"ratings":[39],"on":[40],"influencing":[41],"factors":[42],"error":[45],"forcing":[46],"impact":[47],"specific":[50],"scenario,":[51],"supporting":[52],"CESA-Q":[54],"method":[55,119],"(the":[56,87],"Quantification":[57],"module":[58],"Commission":[61],"Error":[62],"Search":[63],"and":[64,99,123,155],"Assessment":[65],"method).":[66],"While":[67],"contributing":[68],"EOCs,":[73],"this":[74],"presents":[76],"novel":[78],"process":[79,114],"parameters":[86],"Conditional":[88],"Probability":[89],"Distributions,":[90],"CPDs),":[91],"striving":[92],"traceable":[94],"integration":[95],"expert":[97],"knowledge":[98],"(scarce)":[100],"data,":[101],"form":[104],"retrospective":[106],"analyses":[107],"operational":[109],"events":[110,167],"involving":[111],"EOCs.":[112],"combines":[115],"functional":[117],"interpolation":[118],"populating":[121],"CPDs":[122],"updates":[125,163],"adjust":[127,145],"response":[130],"available":[133],"evidence.":[134],"A":[135],"first,":[136],"prior":[137],"is":[139],"developed,":[140],"then":[141],"sequentially":[142],"updated":[143],"two":[147],"data":[148],"sets.":[149],"This":[150],"allows":[151],"some":[152],"intermediate":[153],"validation":[154],"puts":[156],"forwards":[157],"steps":[159],"future":[161],"new":[165,169],"EOC":[166],"(or":[168],"assessments)":[171],"become":[172],"available.":[173]},"cited_by_api_url":"https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W4306404081","counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":6},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":1}],"updated_date":"2024-12-06T20:28:52.352824","created_date":"2022-10-17"}