{"id":"https://openalex.org/W3101200849","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","title":"A Bayesian model to treat within-category and crew-to-crew variability in simulator data for Human Reliability Analysis","display_name":"A Bayesian model to treat within-category and crew-to-crew variability in simulator data for Human Reliability Analysis","publication_year":2020,"publication_date":"2020-11-13","ids":{"openalex":"https://openalex.org/W3101200849","doi":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","mag":"3101200849"},"language":"en","primary_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"type":"article","type_crossref":"journal-article","indexed_in":["crossref"],"open_access":{"is_oa":true,"oa_status":"hybrid","oa_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","any_repository_has_fulltext":true},"authorships":[{"author_position":"first","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5031919072","display_name":"Salvatore F. Greco","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9046-6095"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","display_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3y714","country_code":"CH","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799323385","https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Salvatore F. Greco","raw_affiliation_strings":["Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}]},{"author_position":"middle","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5079344273","display_name":"Luca Podofillini","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0218-0717"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","display_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3y714","country_code":"CH","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799323385","https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":true,"raw_author_name":"Luca Podofillini","raw_affiliation_strings":["Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}]},{"author_position":"last","author":{"id":"https://openalex.org/A5034100882","display_name":"Vinh N. Dang","orcid":"https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4921-2421"},"institutions":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/I2802229908","display_name":"Paul Scherrer Institute","ror":"https://ror.org/03eh3y714","country_code":"CH","type":"funder","lineage":["https://openalex.org/I2799323385","https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}],"countries":["CH"],"is_corresponding":false,"raw_author_name":"Vinh N. Dang","raw_affiliation_strings":["Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland"],"affiliations":[{"raw_affiliation_string":"Risk and Human Reliability Group, Laboratory for Energy Systems Analysis, Paul Scherrer Institute, 5232 Villigen PSI, Switzerland","institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"]}]}],"institution_assertions":[],"countries_distinct_count":1,"institutions_distinct_count":1,"corresponding_author_ids":["https://openalex.org/A5079344273"],"corresponding_institution_ids":["https://openalex.org/I2802229908"],"apc_list":{"value":4190,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4190},"apc_paid":{"value":4190,"currency":"USD","value_usd":4190},"fwci":2.75,"has_fulltext":true,"fulltext_origin":"pdf","cited_by_count":29,"citation_normalized_percentile":{"value":0.729109,"is_in_top_1_percent":false,"is_in_top_10_percent":false},"cited_by_percentile_year":{"min":94,"max":95},"biblio":{"volume":"206","issue":null,"first_page":"107309","last_page":"107309"},"is_retracted":false,"is_paratext":false,"primary_topic":{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":0.999,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},"topics":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/T11357","display_name":"Risk and Safety Analysis","score":0.999,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/1804","display_name":"Statistics, Probability and Uncertainty"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/18","display_name":"Decision Sciences"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/2","display_name":"Social Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10809","display_name":"Occupational Health and Safety Research","score":0.9964,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/3614","display_name":"Radiological and Ultrasound Technology"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/36","display_name":"Health Professions"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/4","display_name":"Health Sciences"}},{"id":"https://openalex.org/T10780","display_name":"Reliability and Maintenance Optimization","score":0.9858,"subfield":{"id":"https://openalex.org/subfields/2213","display_name":"Safety, Risk, Reliability and Quality"},"field":{"id":"https://openalex.org/fields/22","display_name":"Engineering"},"domain":{"id":"https://openalex.org/domains/3","display_name":"Physical Sciences"}}],"keywords":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/keywords/human-reliability","display_name":"Human reliability","score":0.46687597}],"concepts":[{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780179797","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q345844","display_name":"Crew","level":2,"score":0.9057416},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C43214815","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q7310987","display_name":"Reliability (semiconductor)","level":3,"score":0.6237854},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C41008148","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q21198","display_name":"Computer science","level":0,"score":0.5578846},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C2780451532","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q759676","display_name":"Task (project management)","level":2,"score":0.5477653},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C107673813","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q812534","display_name":"Bayesian probability","level":2,"score":0.5273631},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C191147762","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q186289","display_name":"Human reliability","level":3,"score":0.46687597},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C200601418","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q2193887","display_name":"Reliability engineering","level":1,"score":0.40476912},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C44154836","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q45045","display_name":"Simulation","level":1,"score":0.376483},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C169806903","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q5937752","display_name":"Human error","level":2,"score":0.3338601},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C105795698","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q12483","display_name":"Statistics","level":1,"score":0.32429853},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C127413603","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11023","display_name":"Engineering","level":0,"score":0.26526034},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C154945302","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q11660","display_name":"Artificial intelligence","level":1,"score":0.14738238},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C33923547","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q395","display_name":"Mathematics","level":0,"score":0.112578094},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C163258240","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q25342","display_name":"Power (physics)","level":2,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C121332964","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q413","display_name":"Physics","level":0,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C201995342","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q682496","display_name":"Systems engineering","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C178802073","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q8421","display_name":"Aeronautics","level":1,"score":0.0},{"id":"https://openalex.org/C62520636","wikidata":"https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q944","display_name":"Quantum mechanics","level":1,"score":0.0}],"mesh":[],"locations_count":2,"locations":[{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11850/466448","pdf_url":"https://www.research-collection.ethz.ch/bitstream/20.500.11850/466448/3/1-s2.0-S095183202030805X-main.pdf","source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S4306402302","display_name":"Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich)","issn_l":null,"issn":null,"is_oa":true,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":false,"is_core":false,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/I35440088","host_organization_name":"ETH Zurich","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/I35440088"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["ETH Zurich"],"type":"repository"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true}],"best_oa_location":{"is_oa":true,"landing_page_url":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2020.107309","pdf_url":null,"source":{"id":"https://openalex.org/S202403813","display_name":"Reliability Engineering & System Safety","issn_l":"0951-8320","issn":["0951-8320","1879-0836"],"is_oa":false,"is_in_doaj":false,"is_indexed_in_scopus":true,"is_core":true,"host_organization":"https://openalex.org/P4310320990","host_organization_name":"Elsevier BV","host_organization_lineage":["https://openalex.org/P4310320990"],"host_organization_lineage_names":["Elsevier BV"],"type":"journal"},"license":"cc-by-nc-nd","license_id":"https://openalex.org/licenses/cc-by-nc-nd","version":"publishedVersion","is_accepted":true,"is_published":true},"sustainable_development_goals":[],"grants":[{"funder":"https://openalex.org/F4320326801","funder_display_name":"Eidgen\u00f6ssisches Nuklearsicherheitsinspektorat","award_id":null}],"datasets":[],"versions":[],"referenced_works_count":41,"referenced_works":["https://openalex.org/W1579344542","https://openalex.org/W1592876784","https://openalex.org/W1704807589","https://openalex.org/W1906223543","https://openalex.org/W1973552936","https://openalex.org/W1983496457","https://openalex.org/W1993149301","https://openalex.org/W1999752258","https://openalex.org/W2002412017","https://openalex.org/W2004391279","https://openalex.org/W2030446795","https://openalex.org/W2032523285","https://openalex.org/W2043958153","https://openalex.org/W2045656233","https://openalex.org/W2055699749","https://openalex.org/W2055772438","https://openalex.org/W2066261856","https://openalex.org/W2072993076","https://openalex.org/W2088453456","https://openalex.org/W2126162302","https://openalex.org/W2127574627","https://openalex.org/W2234102487","https://openalex.org/W2315092239","https://openalex.org/W2475478763","https://openalex.org/W2482420621","https://openalex.org/W2489999931","https://openalex.org/W2492647808","https://openalex.org/W2586190845","https://openalex.org/W2774382770","https://openalex.org/W2782142434","https://openalex.org/W2782853715","https://openalex.org/W2783889270","https://openalex.org/W2885546839","https://openalex.org/W2915347012","https://openalex.org/W2947067935","https://openalex.org/W3203023739","https://openalex.org/W4232383088","https://openalex.org/W4298388828","https://openalex.org/W614321472","https://openalex.org/W629598914","https://openalex.org/W93136576"],"related_works":["https://openalex.org/W4254777568","https://openalex.org/W3023139160","https://openalex.org/W2953446369","https://openalex.org/W257732458","https://openalex.org/W2313569946","https://openalex.org/W2189174504","https://openalex.org/W2117414875","https://openalex.org/W2002869815","https://openalex.org/W2001920963","https://openalex.org/W1982552738"],"abstract_inverted_index":{"The":[0,122,186],"models":[1],"adopted":[2],"in":[3,67,177],"Human":[4,46],"Reliability":[5],"Analysis":[6],"(HRA)":[7],"characterize":[8],"personnel":[9],"tasks":[10,37],"and":[11,18,24,38,42,65,81,107,119,156,164,184],"performance":[12],"conditions":[13,39],"via":[14],"categories":[15,30],"of":[16,34,43,61,75,117,125,174,188],"task":[17,22,118],"influencing":[19],"factors":[20],"(e.g.":[21],"types":[23],"Performance":[25],"Shaping":[26],"Factors,":[27],"PSF).":[28],"These":[29],"cover":[31],"the":[32,35,44,62,76,102,126,172,189],"variability":[33,51,155,176],"operational":[36],"affecting":[40],"performance,":[41],"associated":[45],"Error":[47],"Probability":[48],"(HEP).":[49],"However,":[50],"exists":[52],"as":[53,72,74,150,152],"well":[54,73,151],"within":[55,111],"such":[56],"categories,":[57],"for":[58,101,141,146,153],"example":[59],"because":[60],"different":[63],"scenarios":[64],"plants":[66,106],"which":[68],"data":[69,94,136,163,167,195],"is":[70,129,198],"collected,":[71],"operating":[77],"crew":[78,108],"differences":[79],"(within-category":[80],"crew-to-crew":[82],"variability).":[83],"This":[84],"paper":[85],"presents":[86],"a":[87,112],"Bayesian":[88],"model":[89,191],"to":[90,95,130,170,180,192],"mathematically":[91],"aggregate":[92],"simulator":[93,166,194],"estimate":[96],"failure":[97,142],"probabilities,":[98],"explicitly":[99],"accounting":[100],"specific":[103],"tasks,":[104],"scenarios,":[105],"behavior":[109],"variability,":[110],"given":[113],"\"constellation\"":[114],"(i.e.":[115],"combination)":[116],"factor":[120],"categories.":[121],"general":[123],"aim":[124],"proposed":[127,190],"work":[128],"provide":[131],"future":[132],"HRA":[133],"with":[134,137,160],"reference":[135],"stronger":[138],"empirical":[139],"basis":[140],"probability":[143],"values,":[144],"both":[145,161],"their":[147,154],"nominal":[148],"values":[149],"uncertainty.":[157],"Numerical":[158],"applications":[159],"artificially-generated":[162],"real":[165],"are":[168],"provided":[169],"demonstrate":[171],"effects":[173],"modelling":[175],"HEP":[178],"estimates,":[179],"avoid":[181],"potential":[182],"overconfidence":[183],"biases.":[185],"applicability":[187],"ongoing":[193],"collection":[196],"programs":[197],"also":[199],"investigated.":[200]},"abstract_inverted_index_v3":null,"cited_by_api_url":"https://api.openalex.org/works?filter=cites:W3101200849","counts_by_year":[{"year":2024,"cited_by_count":8},{"year":2023,"cited_by_count":2},{"year":2022,"cited_by_count":9},{"year":2021,"cited_by_count":10}],"updated_date":"2025-02-16T12:13:05.314213","created_date":"2020-11-23"}