乐胖代购免代理版

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Despite a substantial literature about risk management, no generic approach is proposed to represent construction project considering together technical and human dimensions or sustainability with their uncertainties. Modeling complex dynamical systems from heterogeneous pieces of knowledge varying in precision and reliability is a challenging task. This article proposes an innovative generic and versatile approach, based on the formalism of hierarchical probabilistic relational models to analyze and to propagate uncertainty in construction project regarding different levels of knowledge. The aim is to obtain a flexible, portable, and versatile model able to simulate the behavior of complex system's entities involved in any construction project at different levels of detail while taking uncertainty into account. To illustrate and highlight this approach, an academic example and a real case are proposed.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1111\/mice.12391","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2018,8,14]],"date-time":"2018-08-14T14:35:44Z","timestamp":1534257344000},"page":"97-115","update-policy":"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1002\/crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":20,"title":["Uncertainty Processing and Risk Monitoring in Construction Projects Using Hierarchical Probabilistic Relational Models"],"prefix":"10.1111","volume":"34","author":[{"given":"C\u00e9dric","family":"Baudrit","sequence":"first","affiliation":[{"name":"INRA Universit\u00e9 de Bordeaux I2M Talence France"}]},{"given":"Franck","family":"Taillandier","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e9 de Bordeaux I2M Talence France"}]},{"given":"Thi Thuy Phuong","family":"Tran","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[{"name":"Universit\u00e9 de Bordeaux I2M Talence 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