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We introduce this method on the example of an equation-based modelled system and subsequently test it\u2014to our knowledge for the first time\u2014on ABMs. Our experiments show that the method may have wide applicability in the analysis of social systems. The method can help to approximate abrupt and thus unpredictable regime shifts, even though it may be constrained by stochastics and require a bit more experimentation in selecting suitable variables for making it work in ABMs.<\/jats:p>","DOI":"10.1007\/s42001-020-00071-y","type":"journal-article","created":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,27]],"date-time":"2020-05-27T16:02:42Z","timestamp":1590595362000},"page":"163-185","update-policy":"http:\/\/dx.doi.org\/10.1007\/springer_crossmark_policy","source":"Crossref","is-referenced-by-count":5,"title":["Predicting regime shifts in social systems modelled with agent-based methods"],"prefix":"10.1007","volume":"4","author":[{"ORCID":"http:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0002-7772-4061","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Manfred","family":"F\u00fcllsack","sequence":"first","affiliation":[]},{"given":"Simon","family":"Plakolb","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]},{"ORCID":"http:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0001-9751-0768","authenticated-orcid":false,"given":"Georg","family":"J\u00e4ger","sequence":"additional","affiliation":[]}],"member":"297","published-online":{"date-parts":[[2020,5,27]]},"reference":[{"issue":"1","key":"71_CR1","doi-asserted-by":"publisher","first-page":"71","DOI":"10.1016\/j.jebo.2003.11.013","volume":"57","author":"M Levy","year":"2005","unstructured":"Levy, M. 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