Risk as analysis and risk as feelings: some thoughts about affect, reason, risk, and rationality
- PMID: 15078302
- DOI: 10.1111/j.0272-4332.2004.00433.x
Risk as analysis and risk as feelings: some thoughts about affect, reason, risk, and rationality
Abstract
Modern theories in cognitive psychology and neuroscience indicate that there are two fundamental ways in which human beings comprehend risk. The "analytic system" uses algorithms and normative rules, such as probability calculus, formal logic, and risk assessment. It is relatively slow, effortful, and requires conscious control. The "experiential system" is intuitive, fast, mostly automatic, and not very accessible to conscious awareness. The experiential system enabled human beings to survive during their long period of evolution and remains today the most natural and most common way to respond to risk. It relies on images and associations, linked by experience to emotion and affect (a feeling that something is good or bad). This system represents risk as a feeling that tells us whether it is safe to walk down this dark street or drink this strange-smelling water. Proponents of formal risk analysis tend to view affective responses to risk as irrational. Current wisdom disputes this view. The rational and the experiential systems operate in parallel and each seems to depend on the other for guidance. Studies have demonstrated that analytic reasoning cannot be effective unless it is guided by emotion and affect. Rational decision making requires proper integration of both modes of thought. Both systems have their advantages, biases, and limitations. Now that we are beginning to understand the complex interplay between emotion and reason that is essential to rational behavior, the challenge before us is to think creatively about what this means for managing risk. On the one hand, how do we apply reason to temper the strong emotions engendered by some risk events? On the other hand, how do we infuse needed "doses of feeling" into circumstances where lack of experience may otherwise leave us too "coldly rational"? This article addresses these important questions.
Similar articles
-
Précis of bayesian rationality: The probabilistic approach to human reasoning.Behav Brain Sci. 2009 Feb;32(1):69-84; discussion 85-120. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X09000284. Behav Brain Sci. 2009. PMID: 19210833
-
Human morality and temperament.Nebr Symp Motiv. 2005;51:1-32. Nebr Symp Motiv. 2005. PMID: 16335737
-
Précis of The rational imagination: how people create alternatives to reality.Behav Brain Sci. 2007 Dec;30(5-6):439-53; discussion 453-76. doi: 10.1017/S0140525X07002579. Epub 2008 Mar 6. Behav Brain Sci. 2007. PMID: 18321404
-
Nonrational processes in ethical decision making.Am Psychol. 2011 Oct;66(7):614-23. doi: 10.1037/a0025215. Am Psychol. 2011. PMID: 21875170 Review.
-
Evolved altruism, strong reciprocity, and perception of risk.Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2008 Apr;1128:111-20. doi: 10.1196/annals.1399.012. Ann N Y Acad Sci. 2008. PMID: 18469219 Review.
Cited by
-
Threats of COVID-19 arouse public awareness of climate change risks.iScience. 2022 Nov 18;25(11):105350. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2022.105350. Epub 2022 Oct 13. iScience. 2022. PMID: 36267549 Free PMC article.
-
Worry, Perceived Threat and Media Communication as Predictors of Self-Protective Behaviors During the COVID-19 Outbreak in Europe.Front Psychol. 2021 Feb 16;12:577992. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2021.577992. eCollection 2021. Front Psychol. 2021. PMID: 33664691 Free PMC article.
-
Thinking Styles and Regret in Physicians.PLoS One. 2015 Aug 4;10(8):e0134038. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0134038. eCollection 2015. PLoS One. 2015. PMID: 26241650 Free PMC article.
-
Economic Issues on Food Safety.Ital J Food Saf. 2016 Mar 17;5(1):5580. doi: 10.4081/ijfs.2016.5580. eCollection 2016 Jan 18. Ital J Food Saf. 2016. PMID: 27800432 Free PMC article.
-
Cognitive reflection vs. calculation in decision making.Front Psychol. 2015 May 7;6:532. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2015.00532. eCollection 2015. Front Psychol. 2015. PMID: 25999877 Free PMC article.
Publication types
MeSH terms
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Other Literature Sources
Research Materials